Recent Meteorological Service Singapore outlooks for the second half of August indicate daily maximum temperatures most likely between 33–34 °C, with occasional peaks near 35 °C amid typical southwest monsoon conditions. This forecast, combined with Singapore’s equatorial climate featuring high humidity, frequent afternoon convection, and limited day-to-day variability, underpins trader consensus around 31–33 °C as the most probable outcomes for August 26. Model guidance and historical August averages near 32 °C further reinforce the 47 % implied probability on 32 °C, while the slim odds on extremes reflect the low likelihood of significant deviations from established seasonal patterns absent major shifts in cloud cover or regional wind flow.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on August 26?
Highest temperature in Singapore on August 26?
32°C 48%
31°C 25%
33°C 20%
30°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
8%
31°C
25%
32°C
48%
33°C
20%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 48%
31°C 25%
33°C 20%
30°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
27°C or below
$25 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$45 Vol.
1%
29°C
$95 Vol.
5%
30°C
$231 Vol.
8%
31°C
$125 Vol.
25%
32°C
$291 Vol.
48%
33°C
$214 Vol.
20%
34°C
$188 Vol.
3%
35°C
$0 Vol.
2%
36°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$50 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Meteorological Service Singapore outlooks for the second half of August indicate daily maximum temperatures most likely between 33–34 °C, with occasional peaks near 35 °C amid typical southwest monsoon conditions. This forecast, combined with Singapore’s equatorial climate featuring high humidity, frequent afternoon convection, and limited day-to-day variability, underpins trader consensus around 31–33 °C as the most probable outcomes for August 26. Model guidance and historical August averages near 32 °C further reinforce the 47 % implied probability on 32 °C, while the slim odds on extremes reflect the low likelihood of significant deviations from established seasonal patterns absent major shifts in cloud cover or regional wind flow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,289End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Meteorological Service Singapore outlooks for the second half of August indicate daily maximum temperatures most likely between 33–34 °C, with occasional peaks near 35 °C amid typical southwest monsoon conditions. This forecast, combined with Singapore’s equatorial climate featuring high humidity, frequent afternoon convection, and limited day-to-day variability, underpins trader consensus around 31–33 °C as the most probable outcomes for August 26. Model guidance and historical August averages near 32 °C further reinforce the 47 % implied probability on 32 °C, while the slim odds on extremes reflect the low likelihood of significant deviations from established seasonal patterns absent major shifts in cloud cover or regional wind flow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,289End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Meteorological Service Singapore outlooks for the second half of August indicate daily maximum temperatures most likely between 33–34 °C, with occasional peaks near 35 °C amid typical southwest monsoon conditions. This forecast, combined with Singapore’s equatorial climate featuring high humidity, frequent afternoon convection, and limited day-to-day variability, underpins trader consensus around 31–33 °C as the most probable outcomes for August 26. Model guidance and historical August averages near 32 °C further reinforce the 47 % implied probability on 32 °C, while the slim odds on extremes reflect the low likelihood of significant deviations from established seasonal patterns absent major shifts in cloud cover or regional wind flow.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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