Singapore's minimum temperatures in late August are shaped by persistent southwest monsoon conditions, which typically produce overnight lows of 25–27°C amid high humidity and scattered thundery showers. Recent National Environment Agency guidance highlights warmer nights above 27°C on multiple days, reduced rainfall relative to average, and fair, occasionally windy intervals that can limit radiative cooling. These factors keep most model consensus centered near the historical baseline of roughly 26°C, while short-term variability from cloud cover, localized showers, and urban heat retention introduces modest uncertainty around the exact minimum. With resolution just two days away, updated model runs and official daily forecasts will be the key catalysts for any shifts in trader-implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Singapore on August 26?
22°C or below 59%
32°C or higher 59%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
22°C or below
59%
23°C
32%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
49%
27°C
32%
28°C
32%
29°C
49%
30°C
49%
31°C
30%
32°C or higher
59%
22°C or below 59%
32°C or higher 59%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
22°C or below
59%
23°C
32%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
49%
27°C
32%
28°C
32%
29°C
49%
30°C
49%
31°C
30%
32°C or higher
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Singapore's minimum temperatures in late August are shaped by persistent southwest monsoon conditions, which typically produce overnight lows of 25–27°C amid high humidity and scattered thundery showers. Recent National Environment Agency guidance highlights warmer nights above 27°C on multiple days, reduced rainfall relative to average, and fair, occasionally windy intervals that can limit radiative cooling. These factors keep most model consensus centered near the historical baseline of roughly 26°C, while short-term variability from cloud cover, localized showers, and urban heat retention introduces modest uncertainty around the exact minimum. With resolution just two days away, updated model runs and official daily forecasts will be the key catalysts for any shifts in trader-implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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