Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and multiple models points to a sunny Tuesday with light southwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting highs near 83–85 °F in Seattle and driving the tight market split between the 82–83 °F and 84–85 °F bins. Above-average temperatures stem from strong high pressure and downslope warming east of the Cascades, tempered by marine influence that caps extremes; historical August averages near 76 °F and a record of 91 °F underscore the elevated but not unprecedented conditions. Slight model spread in peak timing and localized smoke effects from regional fires introduce the narrow probability gap, with final NWS observations at Sea-Tac expected to resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seattle on August 25?
Highest temperature in Seattle on August 25?
84-85°F 38%
82-83°F 34%
80-81°F 12%
86-87°F 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
77°F or below
2%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
12%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
38%
86-87°F
12%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 38%
82-83°F 34%
80-81°F 12%
86-87°F 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
77°F or below
$56 Vol.
2%
78-79°F
$6 Vol.
4%
80-81°F
$44 Vol.
12%
82-83°F
$113 Vol.
34%
84-85°F
$413 Vol.
38%
86-87°F
$203 Vol.
12%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
5%
90-91°F
$82 Vol.
3%
92-93°F
$87 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$187 Vol.
<1%
96°F or higher
$297 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and multiple models points to a sunny Tuesday with light southwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting highs near 83–85 °F in Seattle and driving the tight market split between the 82–83 °F and 84–85 °F bins. Above-average temperatures stem from strong high pressure and downslope warming east of the Cascades, tempered by marine influence that caps extremes; historical August averages near 76 °F and a record of 91 °F underscore the elevated but not unprecedented conditions. Slight model spread in peak timing and localized smoke effects from regional fires introduce the narrow probability gap, with final NWS observations at Sea-Tac expected to resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$1,487End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and multiple models points to a sunny Tuesday with light southwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting highs near 83–85 °F in Seattle and driving the tight market split between the 82–83 °F and 84–85 °F bins. Above-average temperatures stem from strong high pressure and downslope warming east of the Cascades, tempered by marine influence that caps extremes; historical August averages near 76 °F and a record of 91 °F underscore the elevated but not unprecedented conditions. Slight model spread in peak timing and localized smoke effects from regional fires introduce the narrow probability gap, with final NWS observations at Sea-Tac expected to resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,487End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and multiple models points to a sunny Tuesday with light southwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting highs near 83–85 °F in Seattle and driving the tight market split between the 82–83 °F and 84–85 °F bins. Above-average temperatures stem from strong high pressure and downslope warming east of the Cascades, tempered by marine influence that caps extremes; historical August averages near 76 °F and a record of 91 °F underscore the elevated but not unprecedented conditions. Slight model spread in peak timing and localized smoke effects from regional fires introduce the narrow probability gap, with final NWS observations at Sea-Tac expected to resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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