Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 26 point to a minimum of 27°C under an active southerly airstream delivering widespread showers and squally thunderstorms, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling through persistent cloud cover and high humidity near 75-95%. Recent model consensus and regional observations show overnight lows typically holding in the 26-28°C range during late-August tropical conditions, with localized dips possible in heavier rain bands but no strong cold advection or frontal passage to push values lower. Trader emphasis on 26°C reflects uncertainty in exact minimums across urban versus elevated stations amid variable thunderstorm timing, while probabilities below 25°C remain low absent unusual subsidence or clearer skies that would enhance cooling. Updated HKO briefings and real-time station data through the evening will refine resolution near the 27-31°C daily range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 26?
26°C 91%
25°C 9%
24°C 4%
23°C <1%
$16,884 Vol.
$16,884 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
9%
26°C
91%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 91%
25°C 9%
24°C 4%
23°C <1%
$16,884 Vol.
$16,884 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
$233 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$380 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,750 Vol.
4%
25°C
$1,140 Vol.
9%
26°C
$2,459 Vol.
91%
27°C
$2,827 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,894 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,575 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$536 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$707 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$382 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 26 point to a minimum of 27°C under an active southerly airstream delivering widespread showers and squally thunderstorms, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling through persistent cloud cover and high humidity near 75-95%. Recent model consensus and regional observations show overnight lows typically holding in the 26-28°C range during late-August tropical conditions, with localized dips possible in heavier rain bands but no strong cold advection or frontal passage to push values lower. Trader emphasis on 26°C reflects uncertainty in exact minimums across urban versus elevated stations amid variable thunderstorm timing, while probabilities below 25°C remain low absent unusual subsidence or clearer skies that would enhance cooling. Updated HKO briefings and real-time station data through the evening will refine resolution near the 27-31°C daily range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$16,884End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 26 point to a minimum of 27°C under an active southerly airstream delivering widespread showers and squally thunderstorms, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling through persistent cloud cover and high humidity near 75-95%. Recent model consensus and regional observations show overnight lows typically holding in the 26-28°C range during late-August tropical conditions, with localized dips possible in heavier rain bands but no strong cold advection or frontal passage to push values lower. Trader emphasis on 26°C reflects uncertainty in exact minimums across urban versus elevated stations amid variable thunderstorm timing, while probabilities below 25°C remain low absent unusual subsidence or clearer skies that would enhance cooling. Updated HKO briefings and real-time station data through the evening will refine resolution near the 27-31°C daily range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,884End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 26 point to a minimum of 27°C under an active southerly airstream delivering widespread showers and squally thunderstorms, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling through persistent cloud cover and high humidity near 75-95%. Recent model consensus and regional observations show overnight lows typically holding in the 26-28°C range during late-August tropical conditions, with localized dips possible in heavier rain bands but no strong cold advection or frontal passage to push values lower. Trader emphasis on 26°C reflects uncertainty in exact minimums across urban versus elevated stations amid variable thunderstorm timing, while probabilities below 25°C remain low absent unusual subsidence or clearer skies that would enhance cooling. Updated HKO briefings and real-time station data through the evening will refine resolution near the 27-31°C daily range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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