Recent forecasts for Tokyo on August 26, 2026, show highs clustering between 33–34°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with southerly flow advecting warm, moist air under a ridge. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms (20–35% chance per models) introduce uncertainty through variable cloud cover and localized cooling, differentiating 34°C from 35°C outcomes while suppressing extremes above 36°C. Historical August maxima near 31–32°C provide baseline context, but persistent heat and urban effects support the tight 34–35°C market split, with resolution hinging on Japan Meteorological Agency observations of peak daytime readings before any evening rain.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 26?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 26?
34°C 40%
35°C 30%
33°C 13%
36°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
6%
32°C
8%
33°C
17%
34°C
40%
35°C
30%
36°C
11%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 40%
35°C 30%
33°C 13%
36°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
28°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$5 Vol.
6%
32°C
$228 Vol.
8%
33°C
$5 Vol.
17%
34°C
$129 Vol.
40%
35°C
$38 Vol.
30%
36°C
$163 Vol.
11%
37°C
$0 Vol.
3%
38°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Tokyo on August 26, 2026, show highs clustering between 33–34°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with southerly flow advecting warm, moist air under a ridge. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms (20–35% chance per models) introduce uncertainty through variable cloud cover and localized cooling, differentiating 34°C from 35°C outcomes while suppressing extremes above 36°C. Historical August maxima near 31–32°C provide baseline context, but persistent heat and urban effects support the tight 34–35°C market split, with resolution hinging on Japan Meteorological Agency observations of peak daytime readings before any evening rain.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$573End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Tokyo on August 26, 2026, show highs clustering between 33–34°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with southerly flow advecting warm, moist air under a ridge. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms (20–35% chance per models) introduce uncertainty through variable cloud cover and localized cooling, differentiating 34°C from 35°C outcomes while suppressing extremes above 36°C. Historical August maxima near 31–32°C provide baseline context, but persistent heat and urban effects support the tight 34–35°C market split, with resolution hinging on Japan Meteorological Agency observations of peak daytime readings before any evening rain.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$573End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Tokyo on August 26, 2026, show highs clustering between 33–34°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with southerly flow advecting warm, moist air under a ridge. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms (20–35% chance per models) introduce uncertainty through variable cloud cover and localized cooling, differentiating 34°C from 35°C outcomes while suppressing extremes above 36°C. Historical August maxima near 31–32°C provide baseline context, but persistent heat and urban effects support the tight 34–35°C market split, with resolution hinging on Japan Meteorological Agency observations of peak daytime readings before any evening rain.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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