Recent Météo-France and European model guidance indicate moderating conditions over northern France after an earlier heatwave, with Paris maximum temperatures on August 26 expected near 27–29 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light winds. Ensemble runs show limited spread around this range, reflecting typical late-August variability rather than strong high-pressure building or Atlantic cooling. Historical climatology places the Paris August mean daily high near 25 °C, so current consensus sits modestly above average yet well below extremes recorded earlier in the month. Updated high-resolution runs and Météo-France vigilance briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine wind, cloud cover, and any residual moisture effects that could shift the peak by 1–2 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on August 26?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 26?
28°C 38%
29°C 31%
27°C 23%
26°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
23°C or below
3%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
10%
27°C
23%
28°C
38%
29°C
31%
30°C
10%
31°C
6%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 38%
29°C 31%
27°C 23%
26°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
23°C or below
$0 Vol.
3%
24°C
$0 Vol.
2%
25°C
$0 Vol.
4%
26°C
$0 Vol.
10%
27°C
$0 Vol.
23%
28°C
$62 Vol.
38%
29°C
$33 Vol.
31%
30°C
$0 Vol.
10%
31°C
$0 Vol.
6%
32°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and European model guidance indicate moderating conditions over northern France after an earlier heatwave, with Paris maximum temperatures on August 26 expected near 27–29 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light winds. Ensemble runs show limited spread around this range, reflecting typical late-August variability rather than strong high-pressure building or Atlantic cooling. Historical climatology places the Paris August mean daily high near 25 °C, so current consensus sits modestly above average yet well below extremes recorded earlier in the month. Updated high-resolution runs and Météo-France vigilance briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine wind, cloud cover, and any residual moisture effects that could shift the peak by 1–2 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$94End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and European model guidance indicate moderating conditions over northern France after an earlier heatwave, with Paris maximum temperatures on August 26 expected near 27–29 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light winds. Ensemble runs show limited spread around this range, reflecting typical late-August variability rather than strong high-pressure building or Atlantic cooling. Historical climatology places the Paris August mean daily high near 25 °C, so current consensus sits modestly above average yet well below extremes recorded earlier in the month. Updated high-resolution runs and Météo-France vigilance briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine wind, cloud cover, and any residual moisture effects that could shift the peak by 1–2 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$94End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France and European model guidance indicate moderating conditions over northern France after an earlier heatwave, with Paris maximum temperatures on August 26 expected near 27–29 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light winds. Ensemble runs show limited spread around this range, reflecting typical late-August variability rather than strong high-pressure building or Atlantic cooling. Historical climatology places the Paris August mean daily high near 25 °C, so current consensus sits modestly above average yet well below extremes recorded earlier in the month. Updated high-resolution runs and Météo-France vigilance briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine wind, cloud cover, and any residual moisture effects that could shift the peak by 1–2 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions