Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, point to a maximum temperature in Shanghai on August 26 of 31–33 °C under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and typical late-summer humidity levels near 65–75 %. This consensus drives the near-even market split between 31 °C and 32 °C, with lower odds on 33 °C reflecting modest model spread in peak afternoon heating. Stable regional pressure patterns and the absence of strong frontal systems or monsoon surges limit variability, while historical August baselines for the area average 31 °C highs. Updated short-range runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will further narrow resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 26?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 26?
32°C 38%
31°C 38%
33°C 11%
30°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
8%
31°C
38%
32°C
38%
33°C
11%
34°C
2%
35°C
6%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 38%
31°C 38%
33°C 11%
30°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
26°C or below
$40 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$50 Vol.
5%
29°C
$403 Vol.
2%
30°C
$211 Vol.
8%
31°C
$1,766 Vol.
38%
32°C
$119 Vol.
38%
33°C
$56 Vol.
11%
34°C
$207 Vol.
2%
35°C
$0 Vol.
6%
36°C or higher
$40 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, point to a maximum temperature in Shanghai on August 26 of 31–33 °C under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and typical late-summer humidity levels near 65–75 %. This consensus drives the near-even market split between 31 °C and 32 °C, with lower odds on 33 °C reflecting modest model spread in peak afternoon heating. Stable regional pressure patterns and the absence of strong frontal systems or monsoon surges limit variability, while historical August baselines for the area average 31 °C highs. Updated short-range runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will further narrow resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,932End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, point to a maximum temperature in Shanghai on August 26 of 31–33 °C under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and typical late-summer humidity levels near 65–75 %. This consensus drives the near-even market split between 31 °C and 32 °C, with lower odds on 33 °C reflecting modest model spread in peak afternoon heating. Stable regional pressure patterns and the absence of strong frontal systems or monsoon surges limit variability, while historical August baselines for the area average 31 °C highs. Updated short-range runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will further narrow resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,932End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, point to a maximum temperature in Shanghai on August 26 of 31–33 °C under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and typical late-summer humidity levels near 65–75 %. This consensus drives the near-even market split between 31 °C and 32 °C, with lower odds on 33 °C reflecting modest model spread in peak afternoon heating. Stable regional pressure patterns and the absence of strong frontal systems or monsoon surges limit variability, while historical August baselines for the area average 31 °C highs. Updated short-range runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will further narrow resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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