**Forecast models from sources like the German Weather Service (DWD), GFS, and ECMWF show a stable high-pressure setup over southern Germany on August 27, 2026, with mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and low precipitation chances (under 5%).** This allows strong solar heating during peak afternoon hours, pushing maximum temperatures to the 30–32°C range (86–90°F) at Munich stations. Afternoon dew points around 15–18°C and relative humidity dropping below 50% further support efficient warming without significant cloud cover or moisture to moderate the rise. Historical late-August baselines for Munich hover near 23–25°C, so current conditions represent a clear positive anomaly driven by the persistent ridge. Market-implied odds align closely with this consensus: 31°C leads at 47% as the most frequent model peak, followed by 32°C (23.5%) and 30°C (21.5%), reflecting minor ensemble spread in exact timing of the daily maximum and slight differences between urban and airport sites. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, keeping probabilities anchored in the 30–32°C band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 27?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 27?
31°C 48%
32°C 24%
30°C 22%
29°C 5%
NEW
$32,119 Vol.
NEW
$32,119 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
22%
31°C
48%
32°C
24%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 48%
32°C 24%
30°C 22%
29°C 5%
NEW
$32,119 Vol.
NEW
$32,119 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
$556 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$511 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,348 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,281 Vol.
2%
29°C
$1,696 Vol.
5%
30°C
$4,703 Vol.
22%
31°C
$7,532 Vol.
48%
32°C
$9,252 Vol.
24%
33°C
$3,770 Vol.
3%
34°C
$908 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$563 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the German Weather Service (DWD), GFS, and ECMWF show a stable high-pressure setup over southern Germany on August 27, 2026, with mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and low precipitation chances (under 5%).** This allows strong solar heating during peak afternoon hours, pushing maximum temperatures to the 30–32°C range (86–90°F) at Munich stations.
Afternoon dew points around 15–18°C and relative humidity dropping below 50% further support efficient warming without significant cloud cover or moisture to moderate the rise. Historical late-August baselines for Munich hover near 23–25°C, so current conditions represent a clear positive anomaly driven by the persistent ridge.
Market-implied odds align closely with this consensus: 31°C leads at 47% as the most frequent model peak, followed by 32°C (23.5%) and 30°C (21.5%), reflecting minor ensemble spread in exact timing of the daily maximum and slight differences between urban and airport sites. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, keeping probabilities anchored in the 30–32°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$32,119End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the German Weather Service (DWD), GFS, and ECMWF show a stable high-pressure setup over southern Germany on August 27, 2026, with mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and low precipitation chances (under 5%).** This allows strong solar heating during peak afternoon hours, pushing maximum temperatures to the 30–32°C range (86–90°F) at Munich stations.
Afternoon dew points around 15–18°C and relative humidity dropping below 50% further support efficient warming without significant cloud cover or moisture to moderate the rise. Historical late-August baselines for Munich hover near 23–25°C, so current conditions represent a clear positive anomaly driven by the persistent ridge.
Market-implied odds align closely with this consensus: 31°C leads at 47% as the most frequent model peak, followed by 32°C (23.5%) and 30°C (21.5%), reflecting minor ensemble spread in exact timing of the daily maximum and slight differences between urban and airport sites. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, keeping probabilities anchored in the 30–32°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$32,119End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like the German Weather Service (DWD), GFS, and ECMWF show a stable high-pressure setup over southern Germany on August 27, 2026, with mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and low precipitation chances (under 5%).** This allows strong solar heating during peak afternoon hours, pushing maximum temperatures to the 30–32°C range (86–90°F) at Munich stations. Afternoon dew points around 15–18°C and relative humidity dropping below 50% further support efficient warming without significant cloud cover or moisture to moderate the rise. Historical late-August baselines for Munich hover near 23–25°C, so current conditions represent a clear positive anomaly driven by the persistent ridge. Market-implied odds align closely with this consensus: 31°C leads at 47% as the most frequent model peak, followed by 32°C (23.5%) and 30°C (21.5%), reflecting minor ensemble spread in exact timing of the daily maximum and slight differences between urban and airport sites. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, keeping probabilities anchored in the 30–32°C band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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