**Current forecasts for Munich on August 27, 2026, indicate the overnight minimum will likely settle in the mid-teens Celsius, with models converging on 16°C as a central outcome while allowing for modest deviations.** Light easterly winds, high humidity (80-90% overnight), and increasing cloud cover after midnight limit radiative cooling, keeping the low from dropping sharply. Early morning observations already show temperatures falling from ~18°C at 02:00 to 16°C by 04:00–07:00 local time under stable high pressure. **Key scientific factors differentiating the leading outcomes (14–16°C) include subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, and urban heat-island effects.** Clearer intervals could enhance long-wave radiation loss and push the minimum toward 14–15°C, while persistent low-level clouds or slightly stronger winds would trap heat and favor 16°C. Historical August 27 averages (high ~23°C, low ~13°C) provide context, but this year’s warmer pattern stems from persistent southerly flow and lack of cold-air advection. **Trader consensus reflects genuine forecast uncertainty rather than any single new development, with probabilities tightly clustered because ensemble spreads remain small and no major model run has shifted dramatically in the past 24 hours.** Resolution hinges on the official DWD or equivalent minimum recorded at the Munich station before temperatures rebound after sunrise.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Munich on August 27?
15°C 31%
16°C 31%
14°C 26%
13°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
10%
12°C
5%
13°C
20%
14°C
26%
15°C
31%
16°C
31%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 31%
16°C 31%
14°C 26%
13°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
10°C or below
$29 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$709 Vol.
10%
12°C
$25 Vol.
5%
13°C
$14 Vol.
20%
14°C
$0 Vol.
26%
15°C
$5 Vol.
31%
16°C
$0 Vol.
31%
17°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$64 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Munich on August 27, 2026, indicate the overnight minimum will likely settle in the mid-teens Celsius, with models converging on 16°C as a central outcome while allowing for modest deviations.** Light easterly winds, high humidity (80-90% overnight), and increasing cloud cover after midnight limit radiative cooling, keeping the low from dropping sharply. Early morning observations already show temperatures falling from ~18°C at 02:00 to 16°C by 04:00–07:00 local time under stable high pressure.
**Key scientific factors differentiating the leading outcomes (14–16°C) include subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, and urban heat-island effects.** Clearer intervals could enhance long-wave radiation loss and push the minimum toward 14–15°C, while persistent low-level clouds or slightly stronger winds would trap heat and favor 16°C. Historical August 27 averages (high ~23°C, low ~13°C) provide context, but this year’s warmer pattern stems from persistent southerly flow and lack of cold-air advection.
**Trader consensus reflects genuine forecast uncertainty rather than any single new development, with probabilities tightly clustered because ensemble spreads remain small and no major model run has shifted dramatically in the past 24 hours.** Resolution hinges on the official DWD or equivalent minimum recorded at the Munich station before temperatures rebound after sunrise.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,001End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Munich on August 27, 2026, indicate the overnight minimum will likely settle in the mid-teens Celsius, with models converging on 16°C as a central outcome while allowing for modest deviations.** Light easterly winds, high humidity (80-90% overnight), and increasing cloud cover after midnight limit radiative cooling, keeping the low from dropping sharply. Early morning observations already show temperatures falling from ~18°C at 02:00 to 16°C by 04:00–07:00 local time under stable high pressure.
**Key scientific factors differentiating the leading outcomes (14–16°C) include subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, and urban heat-island effects.** Clearer intervals could enhance long-wave radiation loss and push the minimum toward 14–15°C, while persistent low-level clouds or slightly stronger winds would trap heat and favor 16°C. Historical August 27 averages (high ~23°C, low ~13°C) provide context, but this year’s warmer pattern stems from persistent southerly flow and lack of cold-air advection.
**Trader consensus reflects genuine forecast uncertainty rather than any single new development, with probabilities tightly clustered because ensemble spreads remain small and no major model run has shifted dramatically in the past 24 hours.** Resolution hinges on the official DWD or equivalent minimum recorded at the Munich station before temperatures rebound after sunrise.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,001End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts for Munich on August 27, 2026, indicate the overnight minimum will likely settle in the mid-teens Celsius, with models converging on 16°C as a central outcome while allowing for modest deviations.** Light easterly winds, high humidity (80-90% overnight), and increasing cloud cover after midnight limit radiative cooling, keeping the low from dropping sharply. Early morning observations already show temperatures falling from ~18°C at 02:00 to 16°C by 04:00–07:00 local time under stable high pressure. **Key scientific factors differentiating the leading outcomes (14–16°C) include subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, and urban heat-island effects.** Clearer intervals could enhance long-wave radiation loss and push the minimum toward 14–15°C, while persistent low-level clouds or slightly stronger winds would trap heat and favor 16°C. Historical August 27 averages (high ~23°C, low ~13°C) provide context, but this year’s warmer pattern stems from persistent southerly flow and lack of cold-air advection. **Trader consensus reflects genuine forecast uncertainty rather than any single new development, with probabilities tightly clustered because ensemble spreads remain small and no major model run has shifted dramatically in the past 24 hours.** Resolution hinges on the official DWD or equivalent minimum recorded at the Munich station before temperatures rebound after sunrise.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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