**Persistent wet-season convection and widespread cloud cover are anchoring trader expectations for a daily maximum near 31°C in Panama City, Panama, on August 28.** Afternoon thunderstorms, driven by high humidity, moisture convergence along the ITCZ, and diurnal heating, routinely cap peak temperatures in the low 30s°C during late August. Official climatology shows an average August high of 30–32°C, with historical records rarely exceeding 33–34°C under similar conditions. Recent model guidance and short-term observations indicate continued unsettled weather with limited sunshine, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around 31°C (48.5% implied probability) while assigning lower odds to 30°C or 32–33°C outliers. No anomalous ridging or drier air mass is indicated that would support significantly higher readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 28?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 28?
31°C 49%
32°C 29%
30°C 19%
29°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
8%
30°C
19%
31°C
49%
32°C
29%
33°C
11%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 49%
32°C 29%
30°C 19%
29°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
26°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
8%
30°C
$0 Vol.
19%
31°C
$210 Vol.
49%
32°C
$0 Vol.
29%
33°C
$11 Vol.
11%
34°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent wet-season convection and widespread cloud cover are anchoring trader expectations for a daily maximum near 31°C in Panama City, Panama, on August 28.** Afternoon thunderstorms, driven by high humidity, moisture convergence along the ITCZ, and diurnal heating, routinely cap peak temperatures in the low 30s°C during late August. Official climatology shows an average August high of 30–32°C, with historical records rarely exceeding 33–34°C under similar conditions. Recent model guidance and short-term observations indicate continued unsettled weather with limited sunshine, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around 31°C (48.5% implied probability) while assigning lower odds to 30°C or 32–33°C outliers. No anomalous ridging or drier air mass is indicated that would support significantly higher readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$221End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent wet-season convection and widespread cloud cover are anchoring trader expectations for a daily maximum near 31°C in Panama City, Panama, on August 28.** Afternoon thunderstorms, driven by high humidity, moisture convergence along the ITCZ, and diurnal heating, routinely cap peak temperatures in the low 30s°C during late August. Official climatology shows an average August high of 30–32°C, with historical records rarely exceeding 33–34°C under similar conditions. Recent model guidance and short-term observations indicate continued unsettled weather with limited sunshine, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around 31°C (48.5% implied probability) while assigning lower odds to 30°C or 32–33°C outliers. No anomalous ridging or drier air mass is indicated that would support significantly higher readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$221End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent wet-season convection and widespread cloud cover are anchoring trader expectations for a daily maximum near 31°C in Panama City, Panama, on August 28.** Afternoon thunderstorms, driven by high humidity, moisture convergence along the ITCZ, and diurnal heating, routinely cap peak temperatures in the low 30s°C during late August. Official climatology shows an average August high of 30–32°C, with historical records rarely exceeding 33–34°C under similar conditions. Recent model guidance and short-term observations indicate continued unsettled weather with limited sunshine, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around 31°C (48.5% implied probability) while assigning lower odds to 30°C or 32–33°C outliers. No anomalous ridging or drier air mass is indicated that would support significantly higher readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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