Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 28 indicate a daily high near 23–25°C amid widespread cloud cover, moderate rainfall, and light northerly winds, aligning with the market-implied odds favoring 25°C at 51.5%. Persistent moisture from the summer rainy season and the city's high elevation moderate daytime heating, keeping temperatures close to the late-August climatological average of 25–26°C rather than allowing stronger warming. Model consensus shows limited variability, with no major shifts expected before resolution, though brief clearing could push readings toward 26°C while heavier showers support cooler outcomes near 24°C. Trader consensus reflects these stable atmospheric conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 28?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 28?
25°C 52%
26°C 23%
24°C 16%
23°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
19°C or below
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
4%
22°C
8%
23°C
12%
24°C
16%
25°C
52%
26°C
23%
27°C
7%
28°C
4%
29°C or higher
3%
25°C 52%
26°C 23%
24°C 16%
23°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
19°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
20°C
$0 Vol.
3%
21°C
$0 Vol.
4%
22°C
$57 Vol.
8%
23°C
$31 Vol.
12%
24°C
$24 Vol.
16%
25°C
$95 Vol.
52%
26°C
$21 Vol.
23%
27°C
$0 Vol.
7%
28°C
$0 Vol.
4%
29°C or higher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 28 indicate a daily high near 23–25°C amid widespread cloud cover, moderate rainfall, and light northerly winds, aligning with the market-implied odds favoring 25°C at 51.5%. Persistent moisture from the summer rainy season and the city's high elevation moderate daytime heating, keeping temperatures close to the late-August climatological average of 25–26°C rather than allowing stronger warming. Model consensus shows limited variability, with no major shifts expected before resolution, though brief clearing could push readings toward 26°C while heavier showers support cooler outcomes near 24°C. Trader consensus reflects these stable atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$228End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 28 indicate a daily high near 23–25°C amid widespread cloud cover, moderate rainfall, and light northerly winds, aligning with the market-implied odds favoring 25°C at 51.5%. Persistent moisture from the summer rainy season and the city's high elevation moderate daytime heating, keeping temperatures close to the late-August climatological average of 25–26°C rather than allowing stronger warming. Model consensus shows limited variability, with no major shifts expected before resolution, though brief clearing could push readings toward 26°C while heavier showers support cooler outcomes near 24°C. Trader consensus reflects these stable atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$228End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 28 indicate a daily high near 23–25°C amid widespread cloud cover, moderate rainfall, and light northerly winds, aligning with the market-implied odds favoring 25°C at 51.5%. Persistent moisture from the summer rainy season and the city's high elevation moderate daytime heating, keeping temperatures close to the late-August climatological average of 25–26°C rather than allowing stronger warming. Model consensus shows limited variability, with no major shifts expected before resolution, though brief clearing could push readings toward 26°C while heavier showers support cooler outcomes near 24°C. Trader consensus reflects these stable atmospheric conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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