Forecasts from agencies including MetService and the Met Office indicate a daytime maximum of 13–14°C for Wellington on August 27 under mostly cloudy skies with light showers possible and moderate northerly winds. These conditions align with typical late-winter norms for the region, where highs average near 13–15°C, and recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability without significant warm-air advection or clear-sky heating. Market-implied odds, with 13°C leading at 51% and 14°C at 32.5%, reflect trader consensus on the narrow uncertainty band around official guidance, including potential measurement timing at stations like Wellington Airport and minor model spreads in peak values. Updated observations through midday have reinforced this range without prompting major shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on August 27?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 27?
13°C 49%
14°C 38%
12°C 7.0%
15°C 4%
NEW
$36,117 Vol.
NEW
$36,117 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
7%
13°C
49%
14°C
38%
15°C
4%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 49%
14°C 38%
12°C 7.0%
15°C 4%
NEW
$36,117 Vol.
NEW
$36,117 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
8°C or below
$1,294 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$244 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$568 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$807 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$6,369 Vol.
7%
13°C
$7,367 Vol.
49%
14°C
$7,736 Vol.
38%
15°C
$7,114 Vol.
4%
16°C
$2,700 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,524 Vol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$393 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from agencies including MetService and the Met Office indicate a daytime maximum of 13–14°C for Wellington on August 27 under mostly cloudy skies with light showers possible and moderate northerly winds. These conditions align with typical late-winter norms for the region, where highs average near 13–15°C, and recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability without significant warm-air advection or clear-sky heating. Market-implied odds, with 13°C leading at 51% and 14°C at 32.5%, reflect trader consensus on the narrow uncertainty band around official guidance, including potential measurement timing at stations like Wellington Airport and minor model spreads in peak values. Updated observations through midday have reinforced this range without prompting major shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$36,117End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from agencies including MetService and the Met Office indicate a daytime maximum of 13–14°C for Wellington on August 27 under mostly cloudy skies with light showers possible and moderate northerly winds. These conditions align with typical late-winter norms for the region, where highs average near 13–15°C, and recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability without significant warm-air advection or clear-sky heating. Market-implied odds, with 13°C leading at 51% and 14°C at 32.5%, reflect trader consensus on the narrow uncertainty band around official guidance, including potential measurement timing at stations like Wellington Airport and minor model spreads in peak values. Updated observations through midday have reinforced this range without prompting major shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36,117End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from agencies including MetService and the Met Office indicate a daytime maximum of 13–14°C for Wellington on August 27 under mostly cloudy skies with light showers possible and moderate northerly winds. These conditions align with typical late-winter norms for the region, where highs average near 13–15°C, and recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability without significant warm-air advection or clear-sky heating. Market-implied odds, with 13°C leading at 51% and 14°C at 32.5%, reflect trader consensus on the narrow uncertainty band around official guidance, including potential measurement timing at stations like Wellington Airport and minor model spreads in peak values. Updated observations through midday have reinforced this range without prompting major shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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