Latest ensemble forecasts for Wellington indicate overnight lows clustering near 12–13°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and moderate northerly to northwesterly winds of 20–30 mph that limit radiative cooling and mix the boundary layer. In late-winter conditions, minimum temperatures hinge on air-mass origin—milder northerly flow versus cooler southerly intrusions—plus wind speed and timing of any partial clearing. Current high-pressure influence and above-average sea-surface temperatures around New Zealand support milder readings than the seasonal 9–10°C average. Model spreads in cloud timing and gust strength keep 12°C and 13°C outcomes closely matched, with fresh runs expected to refine resolution criteria for the daily low.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wellington on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 28?
13°C 50%
12°C 44%
14°C 31%
11°C 29%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
2%
9°C
9%
10°C
27%
11°C
29%
12°C
44%
13°C
50%
14°C
31%
15°C
4%
16°C
6%
17°C or higher
2%
13°C 50%
12°C 44%
14°C 31%
11°C 29%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
7°C or below
$114 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$73 Vol.
2%
9°C
$26 Vol.
9%
10°C
$0 Vol.
27%
11°C
$0 Vol.
29%
12°C
$0 Vol.
44%
13°C
$0 Vol.
50%
14°C
$81 Vol.
31%
15°C
$37 Vol.
4%
16°C
$37 Vol.
6%
17°C or higher
$37 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts for Wellington indicate overnight lows clustering near 12–13°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and moderate northerly to northwesterly winds of 20–30 mph that limit radiative cooling and mix the boundary layer. In late-winter conditions, minimum temperatures hinge on air-mass origin—milder northerly flow versus cooler southerly intrusions—plus wind speed and timing of any partial clearing. Current high-pressure influence and above-average sea-surface temperatures around New Zealand support milder readings than the seasonal 9–10°C average. Model spreads in cloud timing and gust strength keep 12°C and 13°C outcomes closely matched, with fresh runs expected to refine resolution criteria for the daily low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$404End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts for Wellington indicate overnight lows clustering near 12–13°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and moderate northerly to northwesterly winds of 20–30 mph that limit radiative cooling and mix the boundary layer. In late-winter conditions, minimum temperatures hinge on air-mass origin—milder northerly flow versus cooler southerly intrusions—plus wind speed and timing of any partial clearing. Current high-pressure influence and above-average sea-surface temperatures around New Zealand support milder readings than the seasonal 9–10°C average. Model spreads in cloud timing and gust strength keep 12°C and 13°C outcomes closely matched, with fresh runs expected to refine resolution criteria for the daily low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$404End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts for Wellington indicate overnight lows clustering near 12–13°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and moderate northerly to northwesterly winds of 20–30 mph that limit radiative cooling and mix the boundary layer. In late-winter conditions, minimum temperatures hinge on air-mass origin—milder northerly flow versus cooler southerly intrusions—plus wind speed and timing of any partial clearing. Current high-pressure influence and above-average sea-surface temperatures around New Zealand support milder readings than the seasonal 9–10°C average. Model spreads in cloud timing and gust strength keep 12°C and 13°C outcomes closely matched, with fresh runs expected to refine resolution criteria for the daily low.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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