Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a high near 14–15°C in Wellington on August 28, driven by strengthening northerly winds ahead of a trough that advect milder maritime air while increasing cloud cover and shower chances. This aligns with the market-implied 60.5% probability for 15°C and 30% for 16°C, as northerlies often elevate daily maxima 2–4°C above the long-term August average of roughly 12–13°C measured at Wellington Airport. Stronger gusts and precipitation may cap peaks below 17°C, explaining the low odds for warmer outcomes, while cooler scenarios remain unlikely absent rapid southerly changes. Updated model runs and official briefings on wind and frontal timing will provide the next key inputs before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on August 28?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 28?
15°C 61%
16°C 30%
14°C 8%
17°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
8%
15°C
61%
16°C
30%
17°C
3%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 61%
16°C 30%
14°C 8%
17°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
10°C or below
$282 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$520 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$147 Vol.
1%
13°C
$530 Vol.
2%
14°C
$871 Vol.
8%
15°C
$491 Vol.
61%
16°C
$519 Vol.
30%
17°C
$203 Vol.
3%
18°C
$345 Vol.
2%
19°C
$157 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$204 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a high near 14–15°C in Wellington on August 28, driven by strengthening northerly winds ahead of a trough that advect milder maritime air while increasing cloud cover and shower chances. This aligns with the market-implied 60.5% probability for 15°C and 30% for 16°C, as northerlies often elevate daily maxima 2–4°C above the long-term August average of roughly 12–13°C measured at Wellington Airport. Stronger gusts and precipitation may cap peaks below 17°C, explaining the low odds for warmer outcomes, while cooler scenarios remain unlikely absent rapid southerly changes. Updated model runs and official briefings on wind and frontal timing will provide the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,269End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a high near 14–15°C in Wellington on August 28, driven by strengthening northerly winds ahead of a trough that advect milder maritime air while increasing cloud cover and shower chances. This aligns with the market-implied 60.5% probability for 15°C and 30% for 16°C, as northerlies often elevate daily maxima 2–4°C above the long-term August average of roughly 12–13°C measured at Wellington Airport. Stronger gusts and precipitation may cap peaks below 17°C, explaining the low odds for warmer outcomes, while cooler scenarios remain unlikely absent rapid southerly changes. Updated model runs and official briefings on wind and frontal timing will provide the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,269End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a high near 14–15°C in Wellington on August 28, driven by strengthening northerly winds ahead of a trough that advect milder maritime air while increasing cloud cover and shower chances. This aligns with the market-implied 60.5% probability for 15°C and 30% for 16°C, as northerlies often elevate daily maxima 2–4°C above the long-term August average of roughly 12–13°C measured at Wellington Airport. Stronger gusts and precipitation may cap peaks below 17°C, explaining the low odds for warmer outcomes, while cooler scenarios remain unlikely absent rapid southerly changes. Updated model runs and official briefings on wind and frontal timing will provide the next key inputs before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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