**Trader consensus strongly favors 10°C as the lowest temperature in Wellington on August 27, 2026, reflecting consistent official forecasts and observational data from MetService-aligned sources and airport stations.** Recent model runs and surface observations show daytime highs near 13–14°C under overcast skies with moderate northerly winds, while overnight minima have stabilized around 10–11°C amid typical winter maritime conditions and cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological baselines for late August in the region. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated clear-sky window or stronger southerly flow introducing colder air masses, potentially dropping readings to 9°C or below before midnight; conversely, persistent cloud and wind could hold the floor at 11°C. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance or final 24-hour station minima will confirm resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wellington on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 27?
10°C 99%
6°C 2.0%
7°C 2%
8°C 2%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
2%
7°C
2%
8°C
2%
9°C
2%
10°C
99%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
10°C 99%
6°C 2.0%
7°C 2%
8°C 2%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
5°C or below
$188 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$55 Vol.
2%
7°C
$66 Vol.
2%
8°C
$93 Vol.
2%
9°C
$69 Vol.
2%
10°C
$103 Vol.
99%
11°C
$223 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$133 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$43 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$315 Vol.
<1%
15°C or higher
$356 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 10°C as the lowest temperature in Wellington on August 27, 2026, reflecting consistent official forecasts and observational data from MetService-aligned sources and airport stations.** Recent model runs and surface observations show daytime highs near 13–14°C under overcast skies with moderate northerly winds, while overnight minima have stabilized around 10–11°C amid typical winter maritime conditions and cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological baselines for late August in the region. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated clear-sky window or stronger southerly flow introducing colder air masses, potentially dropping readings to 9°C or below before midnight; conversely, persistent cloud and wind could hold the floor at 11°C. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance or final 24-hour station minima will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,643End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 10°C as the lowest temperature in Wellington on August 27, 2026, reflecting consistent official forecasts and observational data from MetService-aligned sources and airport stations.** Recent model runs and surface observations show daytime highs near 13–14°C under overcast skies with moderate northerly winds, while overnight minima have stabilized around 10–11°C amid typical winter maritime conditions and cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological baselines for late August in the region. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated clear-sky window or stronger southerly flow introducing colder air masses, potentially dropping readings to 9°C or below before midnight; conversely, persistent cloud and wind could hold the floor at 11°C. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance or final 24-hour station minima will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,643End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors 10°C as the lowest temperature in Wellington on August 27, 2026, reflecting consistent official forecasts and observational data from MetService-aligned sources and airport stations.** Recent model runs and surface observations show daytime highs near 13–14°C under overcast skies with moderate northerly winds, while overnight minima have stabilized around 10–11°C amid typical winter maritime conditions and cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological baselines for late August in the region. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated clear-sky window or stronger southerly flow introducing colder air masses, potentially dropping readings to 9°C or below before midnight; conversely, persistent cloud and wind could hold the floor at 11°C. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance or final 24-hour station minima will confirm resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions