**Persistent high humidity and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers are keeping Miami's expected minimum temperature for August 28 clustered in the upper 70s to low 80s.** National Weather Service and private model guidance show dew points near 77–80°F and light easterly winds around 5 mph, which suppress cooling typical for late August and push the overnight low above the 77.5°F climatological average. Variable cloud cover and the timing of any convective activity overnight create the narrow spread across adjacent 2°F bins, with traders assigning roughly equal weight because forecast differences hinge on small changes in moisture and mixing rather than a major synoptic shift. No nearby tropical systems are altering the pattern yet, so resolution will depend on the final 24–48 hours of model updates from NOAA.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on August 28?
82-83°F 49%
76-77°F 46%
72-73°F 44%
74-75°F 44%
67°F or below
25%
68-69°F
34%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
44%
74-75°F
44%
76-77°F
46%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
29%
82-83°F
49%
84-85°F
44%
86°F or higher
44%
82-83°F 49%
76-77°F 46%
72-73°F 44%
74-75°F 44%
67°F or below
25%
68-69°F
34%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
44%
74-75°F
44%
76-77°F
46%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
29%
82-83°F
49%
84-85°F
44%
86°F or higher
44%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent high humidity and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers are keeping Miami's expected minimum temperature for August 28 clustered in the upper 70s to low 80s.** National Weather Service and private model guidance show dew points near 77–80°F and light easterly winds around 5 mph, which suppress cooling typical for late August and push the overnight low above the 77.5°F climatological average. Variable cloud cover and the timing of any convective activity overnight create the narrow spread across adjacent 2°F bins, with traders assigning roughly equal weight because forecast differences hinge on small changes in moisture and mixing rather than a major synoptic shift. No nearby tropical systems are altering the pattern yet, so resolution will depend on the final 24–48 hours of model updates from NOAA.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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