**Forecast models from the National Weather Service consistently indicate an overnight low in the upper 60s for New York City on August 28, with Central Park and area stations projected near 68–70°F under partly cloudy skies and light west-to-northwest winds after Thursday’s storms.** This setup favors moderate radiative cooling overnight following daytime highs in the low-to-mid 80s, though residual humidity and any lingering cloud cover could limit the drop. Trader consensus, with 70–71°F at 44% implied probability and 72–73°F next at 29%, appears anchored to recent model consensus and historical late-August baselines around 68–72°F, while lower bins like 64–65°F receive only modest support at 8.5%. The next NWS forecast updates and morning observations will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in NYC on August 28?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 28?
70-71°F 44%
74-75°F 44%
72-73°F 30%
68-69°F 24%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
59°F or below
5%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
12%
68-69°F
24%
70-71°F
44%
72-73°F
30%
74-75°F
44%
76-77°F
15%
78°F or higher
3%
70-71°F 44%
74-75°F 44%
72-73°F 30%
68-69°F 24%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
59°F or below
$10 Vol.
5%
60-61°F
$21 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
2%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
3%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
12%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
24%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
44%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
30%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
44%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
15%
78°F or higher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the National Weather Service consistently indicate an overnight low in the upper 60s for New York City on August 28, with Central Park and area stations projected near 68–70°F under partly cloudy skies and light west-to-northwest winds after Thursday’s storms.** This setup favors moderate radiative cooling overnight following daytime highs in the low-to-mid 80s, though residual humidity and any lingering cloud cover could limit the drop. Trader consensus, with 70–71°F at 44% implied probability and 72–73°F next at 29%, appears anchored to recent model consensus and historical late-August baselines around 68–72°F, while lower bins like 64–65°F receive only modest support at 8.5%. The next NWS forecast updates and morning observations will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$31End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the National Weather Service consistently indicate an overnight low in the upper 60s for New York City on August 28, with Central Park and area stations projected near 68–70°F under partly cloudy skies and light west-to-northwest winds after Thursday’s storms.** This setup favors moderate radiative cooling overnight following daytime highs in the low-to-mid 80s, though residual humidity and any lingering cloud cover could limit the drop. Trader consensus, with 70–71°F at 44% implied probability and 72–73°F next at 29%, appears anchored to recent model consensus and historical late-August baselines around 68–72°F, while lower bins like 64–65°F receive only modest support at 8.5%. The next NWS forecast updates and morning observations will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the National Weather Service consistently indicate an overnight low in the upper 60s for New York City on August 28, with Central Park and area stations projected near 68–70°F under partly cloudy skies and light west-to-northwest winds after Thursday’s storms.** This setup favors moderate radiative cooling overnight following daytime highs in the low-to-mid 80s, though residual humidity and any lingering cloud cover could limit the drop. Trader consensus, with 70–71°F at 44% implied probability and 72–73°F next at 29%, appears anchored to recent model consensus and historical late-August baselines around 68–72°F, while lower bins like 64–65°F receive only modest support at 8.5%. The next NWS forecast updates and morning observations will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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