Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus indicate a high temperature in New York City on August 28 most likely in the low-to-mid 80s, with Central Park projected near 83°F under partly sunny skies after morning clouds or light showers. West winds around 5 mph and residual moisture from August 27 storms limit full solar heating, while dew points near 68–70°F moderate the peak. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 82–83°F and 84–85°F because small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily maximum by 2–3°F; historical August variability and recent model runs show comparable uncertainty ranges around these thresholds. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon observations will further refine resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on August 28?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 28?
82-83°F 29%
84-85°F 28%
80-81°F 19%
78-79°F 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
28%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
4%
90°F or higher
2%
82-83°F 29%
84-85°F 28%
80-81°F 19%
78-79°F 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
71°F or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
6%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
11%
80-81°F
$7 Vol.
14%
82-83°F
$314 Vol.
29%
84-85°F
$51 Vol.
28%
86-87°F
$107 Vol.
8%
88-89°F
$27 Vol.
4%
90°F or higher
$3 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus indicate a high temperature in New York City on August 28 most likely in the low-to-mid 80s, with Central Park projected near 83°F under partly sunny skies after morning clouds or light showers. West winds around 5 mph and residual moisture from August 27 storms limit full solar heating, while dew points near 68–70°F moderate the peak. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 82–83°F and 84–85°F because small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily maximum by 2–3°F; historical August variability and recent model runs show comparable uncertainty ranges around these thresholds. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon observations will further refine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$509End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus indicate a high temperature in New York City on August 28 most likely in the low-to-mid 80s, with Central Park projected near 83°F under partly sunny skies after morning clouds or light showers. West winds around 5 mph and residual moisture from August 27 storms limit full solar heating, while dew points near 68–70°F moderate the peak. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 82–83°F and 84–85°F because small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily maximum by 2–3°F; historical August variability and recent model runs show comparable uncertainty ranges around these thresholds. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon observations will further refine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$509End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus indicate a high temperature in New York City on August 28 most likely in the low-to-mid 80s, with Central Park projected near 83°F under partly sunny skies after morning clouds or light showers. West winds around 5 mph and residual moisture from August 27 storms limit full solar heating, while dew points near 68–70°F moderate the peak. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 82–83°F and 84–85°F because small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily maximum by 2–3°F; historical August variability and recent model runs show comparable uncertainty ranges around these thresholds. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon observations will further refine resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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