Persistent heat across southeast Texas, with recent highs near or above 100°F and minimal overnight cooling, positions elevated minimum temperatures as the market's leading outcome for Houston on August 28. Forecast models from NOAA and local sources indicate partly cloudy conditions with scattered afternoon thunderstorms and southerly winds, keeping the daily low in the upper 70s to low 80s—well above the long-term August average of about 76°F—due to high humidity and the absence of a strong frontal passage. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 86°F-or-higher bin while supporting secondary probabilities in the mid-70s to low-80s ranges. Updated National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs through the next 24–48 hours will refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Houston on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Houston on August 28?
86°F or higher 59%
67°F or below 50%
74-75°F 49%
80-81°F 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
67°F or below
50%
68-69°F
18%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
49%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
49%
82-83°F
49%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
59%
86°F or higher 59%
67°F or below 50%
74-75°F 49%
80-81°F 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
67°F or below
$0 Vol.
50%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
18%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
39%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
39%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
49%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
25%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
27%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
49%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
49%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
2%
86°F or higher
$5 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heat across southeast Texas, with recent highs near or above 100°F and minimal overnight cooling, positions elevated minimum temperatures as the market's leading outcome for Houston on August 28. Forecast models from NOAA and local sources indicate partly cloudy conditions with scattered afternoon thunderstorms and southerly winds, keeping the daily low in the upper 70s to low 80s—well above the long-term August average of about 76°F—due to high humidity and the absence of a strong frontal passage. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 86°F-or-higher bin while supporting secondary probabilities in the mid-70s to low-80s ranges. Updated National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs through the next 24–48 hours will refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$5End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heat across southeast Texas, with recent highs near or above 100°F and minimal overnight cooling, positions elevated minimum temperatures as the market's leading outcome for Houston on August 28. Forecast models from NOAA and local sources indicate partly cloudy conditions with scattered afternoon thunderstorms and southerly winds, keeping the daily low in the upper 70s to low 80s—well above the long-term August average of about 76°F—due to high humidity and the absence of a strong frontal passage. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 86°F-or-higher bin while supporting secondary probabilities in the mid-70s to low-80s ranges. Updated National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs through the next 24–48 hours will refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heat across southeast Texas, with recent highs near or above 100°F and minimal overnight cooling, positions elevated minimum temperatures as the market's leading outcome for Houston on August 28. Forecast models from NOAA and local sources indicate partly cloudy conditions with scattered afternoon thunderstorms and southerly winds, keeping the daily low in the upper 70s to low 80s—well above the long-term August average of about 76°F—due to high humidity and the absence of a strong frontal passage. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 86°F-or-higher bin while supporting secondary probabilities in the mid-70s to low-80s ranges. Updated National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs through the next 24–48 hours will refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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