Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and models indicate an overnight low near 73°F for Los Angeles on August 28 amid a prolonged Southern California heat wave that has kept recent minima in the mid-70s, well above the historical average of 65°F. This stems from a warm airmass with limited radiative cooling overnight, influenced by persistent cloud cover, light winds, and urban heat effects. The near-even split between 67°F-or-below and 86°F-or-higher outcomes reflects uncertainty over whether marine-layer strengthening or clearing skies will enhance cooling versus sustained heat retention. Resolution hinges on the final NWS observation at key stations, with any shift in evening winds or cloud trends likely to move probabilities most.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 28?
67°F or below 96%
86°F or higher 96%
68-69°F 48%
70-71°F 48%
67°F or below
96%
68-69°F
48%
70-71°F
48%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
48%
78-79°F
48%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
48%
84-85°F
47%
86°F or higher
96%
67°F or below 96%
86°F or higher 96%
68-69°F 48%
70-71°F 48%
67°F or below
96%
68-69°F
48%
70-71°F
48%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
48%
78-79°F
48%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
48%
84-85°F
47%
86°F or higher
96%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and models indicate an overnight low near 73°F for Los Angeles on August 28 amid a prolonged Southern California heat wave that has kept recent minima in the mid-70s, well above the historical average of 65°F. This stems from a warm airmass with limited radiative cooling overnight, influenced by persistent cloud cover, light winds, and urban heat effects. The near-even split between 67°F-or-below and 86°F-or-higher outcomes reflects uncertainty over whether marine-layer strengthening or clearing skies will enhance cooling versus sustained heat retention. Resolution hinges on the final NWS observation at key stations, with any shift in evening winds or cloud trends likely to move probabilities most.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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