Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, point to overnight lows near 25–26°C on August 28 amid the rainy season, with widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms limiting radiative cooling. High humidity levels near 90% reduce the diurnal temperature range, while light winds and frequent precipitation keep surface temperatures elevated compared to clearer conditions. Model consensus from regional agencies shows minor variations in storm timing and coverage that could nudge the minimum between 23–26°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around these outcomes. Historical August baselines in the region typically range 24–27°C at night, with cloudier periods suppressing cooling by 1–2°C through enhanced downwelling longwave radiation. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on August 28?
20°C or below 89%
30°C or higher 85%
22°C 84%
23°C 83%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
20°C or below
89%
21°C
47%
22°C
84%
23°C
83%
24°C
49%
25°C
34%
26°C
46%
27°C
26%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C or higher
85%
20°C or below 89%
30°C or higher 85%
22°C 84%
23°C 83%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
89%
21°C
$0 Vol.
47%
22°C
$0 Vol.
84%
23°C
$0 Vol.
83%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
34%
26°C
$0 Vol.
46%
27°C
$0 Vol.
26%
28°C
$0 Vol.
49%
29°C
$0 Vol.
49%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, point to overnight lows near 25–26°C on August 28 amid the rainy season, with widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms limiting radiative cooling. High humidity levels near 90% reduce the diurnal temperature range, while light winds and frequent precipitation keep surface temperatures elevated compared to clearer conditions. Model consensus from regional agencies shows minor variations in storm timing and coverage that could nudge the minimum between 23–26°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around these outcomes. Historical August baselines in the region typically range 24–27°C at night, with cloudier periods suppressing cooling by 1–2°C through enhanced downwelling longwave radiation. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, point to overnight lows near 25–26°C on August 28 amid the rainy season, with widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms limiting radiative cooling. High humidity levels near 90% reduce the diurnal temperature range, while light winds and frequent precipitation keep surface temperatures elevated compared to clearer conditions. Model consensus from regional agencies shows minor variations in storm timing and coverage that could nudge the minimum between 23–26°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around these outcomes. Historical August baselines in the region typically range 24–27°C at night, with cloudier periods suppressing cooling by 1–2°C through enhanced downwelling longwave radiation. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, point to overnight lows near 25–26°C on August 28 amid the rainy season, with widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms limiting radiative cooling. High humidity levels near 90% reduce the diurnal temperature range, while light winds and frequent precipitation keep surface temperatures elevated compared to clearer conditions. Model consensus from regional agencies shows minor variations in storm timing and coverage that could nudge the minimum between 23–26°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around these outcomes. Historical August baselines in the region typically range 24–27°C at night, with cloudier periods suppressing cooling by 1–2°C through enhanced downwelling longwave radiation. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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