Traders see Houston's August 27 overnight low clustering near 80–83 °F because late-summer steering patterns and high Gulf moisture typically limit radiational cooling, keeping most guidance in that narrow band. NOAA model runs show modest spread driven by uncertain cloud cover and any weak sea-breeze or frontal effects that could alter minimum temperatures by a degree or two. Historical August climatology for the Houston area places average lows around 76–80 °F, providing a baseline traders weigh against current ensemble consensus. The nearly even split across adjacent bins reflects this forecast uncertainty, with fresh National Weather Service updates and evening model cycles likely to sharpen probabilities ahead of the daily minimum reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Houston on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Houston on August 27?
86-87°F 36%
80-81°F 29%
82-83°F 28%
74-75°F 26%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
73°F or below
26%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
29%
82-83°F
28%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
36%
88-89°F
19%
90-91°F
19%
92°F or higher
22%
86-87°F 36%
80-81°F 29%
82-83°F 28%
74-75°F 26%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
73°F or below
$0 Vol.
26%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
26%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
26%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
26%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
29%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
28%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
26%
86-87°F
$27 Vol.
36%
88-89°F
$17 Vol.
19%
90-91°F
$17 Vol.
19%
92°F or higher
$22 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see Houston's August 27 overnight low clustering near 80–83 °F because late-summer steering patterns and high Gulf moisture typically limit radiational cooling, keeping most guidance in that narrow band. NOAA model runs show modest spread driven by uncertain cloud cover and any weak sea-breeze or frontal effects that could alter minimum temperatures by a degree or two. Historical August climatology for the Houston area places average lows around 76–80 °F, providing a baseline traders weigh against current ensemble consensus. The nearly even split across adjacent bins reflects this forecast uncertainty, with fresh National Weather Service updates and evening model cycles likely to sharpen probabilities ahead of the daily minimum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$82End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see Houston's August 27 overnight low clustering near 80–83 °F because late-summer steering patterns and high Gulf moisture typically limit radiational cooling, keeping most guidance in that narrow band. NOAA model runs show modest spread driven by uncertain cloud cover and any weak sea-breeze or frontal effects that could alter minimum temperatures by a degree or two. Historical August climatology for the Houston area places average lows around 76–80 °F, providing a baseline traders weigh against current ensemble consensus. The nearly even split across adjacent bins reflects this forecast uncertainty, with fresh National Weather Service updates and evening model cycles likely to sharpen probabilities ahead of the daily minimum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$82End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see Houston's August 27 overnight low clustering near 80–83 °F because late-summer steering patterns and high Gulf moisture typically limit radiational cooling, keeping most guidance in that narrow band. NOAA model runs show modest spread driven by uncertain cloud cover and any weak sea-breeze or frontal effects that could alter minimum temperatures by a degree or two. Historical August climatology for the Houston area places average lows around 76–80 °F, providing a baseline traders weigh against current ensemble consensus. The nearly even split across adjacent bins reflects this forecast uncertainty, with fresh National Weather Service updates and evening model cycles likely to sharpen probabilities ahead of the daily minimum reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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