Recent National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 27 project a daily high in the low 80s, driven by a humid southerly flow ahead of a frontal boundary that favors afternoon convection and cloud cover. These conditions typically cap peak temperatures through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, aligning with model consensus around 81–82°F. Historical climatology shows late-August averages near 82°F at Central Park, but thunderstorm probability above 60% introduces downside risk to the maximum. Trader positioning in the 80–83°F bins reflects this forecast stability, with limited upside potential absent a clearer, warmer steering pattern. Updated model runs and NWS briefings remain key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on August 27?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 27?
80-81°F 45%
82-83°F 29%
78-79°F 14%
84-85°F 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
45%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
4%
88°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 45%
82-83°F 29%
78-79°F 14%
84-85°F 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
69°F or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
3%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$22 Vol.
4%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
7%
78-79°F
$86 Vol.
14%
80-81°F
$52 Vol.
45%
82-83°F
$47 Vol.
29%
84-85°F
$229 Vol.
12%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
4%
88°F or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 27 project a daily high in the low 80s, driven by a humid southerly flow ahead of a frontal boundary that favors afternoon convection and cloud cover. These conditions typically cap peak temperatures through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, aligning with model consensus around 81–82°F. Historical climatology shows late-August averages near 82°F at Central Park, but thunderstorm probability above 60% introduces downside risk to the maximum. Trader positioning in the 80–83°F bins reflects this forecast stability, with limited upside potential absent a clearer, warmer steering pattern. Updated model runs and NWS briefings remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$437End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 27 project a daily high in the low 80s, driven by a humid southerly flow ahead of a frontal boundary that favors afternoon convection and cloud cover. These conditions typically cap peak temperatures through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, aligning with model consensus around 81–82°F. Historical climatology shows late-August averages near 82°F at Central Park, but thunderstorm probability above 60% introduces downside risk to the maximum. Trader positioning in the 80–83°F bins reflects this forecast stability, with limited upside potential absent a clearer, warmer steering pattern. Updated model runs and NWS briefings remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$437End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 27 project a daily high in the low 80s, driven by a humid southerly flow ahead of a frontal boundary that favors afternoon convection and cloud cover. These conditions typically cap peak temperatures through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, aligning with model consensus around 81–82°F. Historical climatology shows late-August averages near 82°F at Central Park, but thunderstorm probability above 60% introduces downside risk to the maximum. Trader positioning in the 80–83°F bins reflects this forecast stability, with limited upside potential absent a clearer, warmer steering pattern. Updated model runs and NWS briefings remain key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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