Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, point to a daytime high near 30–32°C on August 27 under typical late-August rainy-season conditions, with scattered showers and thunderstorms expected in the afternoon. Persistent high humidity, light variable winds, and convective cloud development are the main factors capping temperatures, as early or widespread rain can suppress peak readings while delayed or localized storms allow brief warming. Historical August averages hover around 30–32°C, and current model consensus shows modest spread in timing and intensity of convection rather than large-scale shifts in air mass. This narrow scientific uncertainty explains why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly on 31–33°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official observations on the 27th will refine the final recorded maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 27?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 27?
32°C 35%
33°C 29%
31°C 20%
30°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
28°C or below
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
15%
31°C
20%
32°C
28%
33°C
25%
34°C
11%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
1%
32°C 35%
33°C 29%
31°C 20%
30°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
28°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
29°C
$0 Vol.
3%
30°C
$62 Vol.
15%
31°C
$91 Vol.
20%
32°C
$19 Vol.
28%
33°C
$14 Vol.
25%
34°C
$82 Vol.
11%
35°C
$0 Vol.
2%
36°C
$0 Vol.
2%
37°C
$0 Vol.
2%
38°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, point to a daytime high near 30–32°C on August 27 under typical late-August rainy-season conditions, with scattered showers and thunderstorms expected in the afternoon. Persistent high humidity, light variable winds, and convective cloud development are the main factors capping temperatures, as early or widespread rain can suppress peak readings while delayed or localized storms allow brief warming. Historical August averages hover around 30–32°C, and current model consensus shows modest spread in timing and intensity of convection rather than large-scale shifts in air mass. This narrow scientific uncertainty explains why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly on 31–33°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official observations on the 27th will refine the final recorded maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$267End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, point to a daytime high near 30–32°C on August 27 under typical late-August rainy-season conditions, with scattered showers and thunderstorms expected in the afternoon. Persistent high humidity, light variable winds, and convective cloud development are the main factors capping temperatures, as early or widespread rain can suppress peak readings while delayed or localized storms allow brief warming. Historical August averages hover around 30–32°C, and current model consensus shows modest spread in timing and intensity of convection rather than large-scale shifts in air mass. This narrow scientific uncertainty explains why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly on 31–33°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official observations on the 27th will refine the final recorded maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$267End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, point to a daytime high near 30–32°C on August 27 under typical late-August rainy-season conditions, with scattered showers and thunderstorms expected in the afternoon. Persistent high humidity, light variable winds, and convective cloud development are the main factors capping temperatures, as early or widespread rain can suppress peak readings while delayed or localized storms allow brief warming. Historical August averages hover around 30–32°C, and current model consensus shows modest spread in timing and intensity of convection rather than large-scale shifts in air mass. This narrow scientific uncertainty explains why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly on 31–33°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official observations on the 27th will refine the final recorded maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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