**Forecast models for Munich on August 28 indicate a daytime high of 28–29°C as the most likely outcome, with afternoon thunderstorms expected to influence peak temperatures.** Official guidance and ensemble runs from sources including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and European models show highs near 28°C (roughly 82°F) under partly cloudy skies, with a 40–65% chance of showers or thunderstorms developing later in the day. These convective conditions, driven by increasing instability and westerly flow, typically limit maximum heating by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, favoring the 28–29°C range over higher values. Some earlier model runs projected 30–31°C if storms remain suppressed, but recent updates have trended slightly cooler due to higher precipitation probabilities. The market’s tight spread between 28°C and 29°C reflects this uncertainty in exact storm timing and intensity, which official agencies like the German Weather Service will resolve through updated observations and nowcasts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 28?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 28?
29°C 32%
28°C 23%
30°C 15%
27°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
4%
27°C
11%
28°C
23%
29°C
32%
30°C
15%
31°C
8%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 32%
28°C 23%
30°C 15%
27°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
23°C or below
$144 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$55 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$337 Vol.
3%
26°C
$240 Vol.
4%
27°C
$850 Vol.
11%
28°C
$1,478 Vol.
23%
29°C
$1,049 Vol.
32%
30°C
$1,793 Vol.
15%
31°C
$995 Vol.
8%
32°C
$160 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$136 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Munich on August 28 indicate a daytime high of 28–29°C as the most likely outcome, with afternoon thunderstorms expected to influence peak temperatures.** Official guidance and ensemble runs from sources including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and European models show highs near 28°C (roughly 82°F) under partly cloudy skies, with a 40–65% chance of showers or thunderstorms developing later in the day. These convective conditions, driven by increasing instability and westerly flow, typically limit maximum heating by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, favoring the 28–29°C range over higher values. Some earlier model runs projected 30–31°C if storms remain suppressed, but recent updates have trended slightly cooler due to higher precipitation probabilities. The market’s tight spread between 28°C and 29°C reflects this uncertainty in exact storm timing and intensity, which official agencies like the German Weather Service will resolve through updated observations and nowcasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$7,238End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Munich on August 28 indicate a daytime high of 28–29°C as the most likely outcome, with afternoon thunderstorms expected to influence peak temperatures.** Official guidance and ensemble runs from sources including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and European models show highs near 28°C (roughly 82°F) under partly cloudy skies, with a 40–65% chance of showers or thunderstorms developing later in the day. These convective conditions, driven by increasing instability and westerly flow, typically limit maximum heating by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, favoring the 28–29°C range over higher values. Some earlier model runs projected 30–31°C if storms remain suppressed, but recent updates have trended slightly cooler due to higher precipitation probabilities. The market’s tight spread between 28°C and 29°C reflects this uncertainty in exact storm timing and intensity, which official agencies like the German Weather Service will resolve through updated observations and nowcasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,238End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models for Munich on August 28 indicate a daytime high of 28–29°C as the most likely outcome, with afternoon thunderstorms expected to influence peak temperatures.** Official guidance and ensemble runs from sources including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and European models show highs near 28°C (roughly 82°F) under partly cloudy skies, with a 40–65% chance of showers or thunderstorms developing later in the day. These convective conditions, driven by increasing instability and westerly flow, typically limit maximum heating by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, favoring the 28–29°C range over higher values. Some earlier model runs projected 30–31°C if storms remain suppressed, but recent updates have trended slightly cooler due to higher precipitation probabilities. The market’s tight spread between 28°C and 29°C reflects this uncertainty in exact storm timing and intensity, which official agencies like the German Weather Service will resolve through updated observations and nowcasts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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