Forecast models from DWD, ECMWF, and others indicate a low around 14–18 °C for Munich on August 28 amid scattered thunderstorms and moderate southwest winds. Persistent cloud cover and rainfall timing after peak heating limit radiative cooling, keeping overnight minima higher than the long-term 12.8 °C average while steering patterns from recent high pressure breakdown prevent sharper drops. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 15–17 °C because ensemble spreads show small differences in dew-point depression and boundary-layer mixing that can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2 °C. Updated runs overnight and early on the 28th will clarify whether stronger convection or clearer breaks emerge before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Munich on August 28?
16°C 43%
17°C 43%
15°C 42%
18°C 36%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
7%
14°C
11%
15°C
42%
16°C
43%
17°C
43%
18°C
36%
19°C
7%
20°C
5%
21°C
4%
22°C or higher
1%
16°C 43%
17°C 43%
15°C 42%
18°C 36%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
12°C or below
$42 Vol.
1%
13°C
$86 Vol.
7%
14°C
$0 Vol.
11%
15°C
$0 Vol.
42%
16°C
$0 Vol.
43%
17°C
$0 Vol.
43%
18°C
$0 Vol.
36%
19°C
$21 Vol.
7%
20°C
$50 Vol.
5%
21°C
$42 Vol.
4%
22°C or higher
$42 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from DWD, ECMWF, and others indicate a low around 14–18 °C for Munich on August 28 amid scattered thunderstorms and moderate southwest winds. Persistent cloud cover and rainfall timing after peak heating limit radiative cooling, keeping overnight minima higher than the long-term 12.8 °C average while steering patterns from recent high pressure breakdown prevent sharper drops. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 15–17 °C because ensemble spreads show small differences in dew-point depression and boundary-layer mixing that can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2 °C. Updated runs overnight and early on the 28th will clarify whether stronger convection or clearer breaks emerge before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$284End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from DWD, ECMWF, and others indicate a low around 14–18 °C for Munich on August 28 amid scattered thunderstorms and moderate southwest winds. Persistent cloud cover and rainfall timing after peak heating limit radiative cooling, keeping overnight minima higher than the long-term 12.8 °C average while steering patterns from recent high pressure breakdown prevent sharper drops. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 15–17 °C because ensemble spreads show small differences in dew-point depression and boundary-layer mixing that can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2 °C. Updated runs overnight and early on the 28th will clarify whether stronger convection or clearer breaks emerge before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$284End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from DWD, ECMWF, and others indicate a low around 14–18 °C for Munich on August 28 amid scattered thunderstorms and moderate southwest winds. Persistent cloud cover and rainfall timing after peak heating limit radiative cooling, keeping overnight minima higher than the long-term 12.8 °C average while steering patterns from recent high pressure breakdown prevent sharper drops. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 15–17 °C because ensemble spreads show small differences in dew-point depression and boundary-layer mixing that can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2 °C. Updated runs overnight and early on the 28th will clarify whether stronger convection or clearer breaks emerge before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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