Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and multiple European models converge on a daily maximum of 23–24 °C in Paris on 28 August, driven by southwest flow advecting cooler maritime air behind a weakening front, combined with widespread cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. This setup follows warmer conditions earlier in the week and places the expected high roughly 1 °C below the 1991–2020 August 28 average of 24.2 °C. Market-implied probabilities align closely with this consensus, with 23 °C leading at 39 % followed by 24 °C and 22 °C. Final official readings from Paris-Montsouris or equivalent stations will resolve the market, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud allow brief additional warming.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on August 28?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 28?
23°C 39%
24°C 27%
22°C 22%
21°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C
22%
23°C
39%
24°C
27%
25°C
7%
26°C or higher
2%
23°C 39%
24°C 27%
22°C 22%
21°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
16°C or below
$167 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$88 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$88 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$80 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$211 Vol.
2%
21°C
$657 Vol.
8%
22°C
$1,110 Vol.
22%
23°C
$1,049 Vol.
39%
24°C
$930 Vol.
27%
25°C
$413 Vol.
7%
26°C or higher
$204 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and multiple European models converge on a daily maximum of 23–24 °C in Paris on 28 August, driven by southwest flow advecting cooler maritime air behind a weakening front, combined with widespread cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. This setup follows warmer conditions earlier in the week and places the expected high roughly 1 °C below the 1991–2020 August 28 average of 24.2 °C. Market-implied probabilities align closely with this consensus, with 23 °C leading at 39 % followed by 24 °C and 22 °C. Final official readings from Paris-Montsouris or equivalent stations will resolve the market, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud allow brief additional warming.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$4,653End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and multiple European models converge on a daily maximum of 23–24 °C in Paris on 28 August, driven by southwest flow advecting cooler maritime air behind a weakening front, combined with widespread cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. This setup follows warmer conditions earlier in the week and places the expected high roughly 1 °C below the 1991–2020 August 28 average of 24.2 °C. Market-implied probabilities align closely with this consensus, with 23 °C leading at 39 % followed by 24 °C and 22 °C. Final official readings from Paris-Montsouris or equivalent stations will resolve the market, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud allow brief additional warming.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,653End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and multiple European models converge on a daily maximum of 23–24 °C in Paris on 28 August, driven by southwest flow advecting cooler maritime air behind a weakening front, combined with widespread cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. This setup follows warmer conditions earlier in the week and places the expected high roughly 1 °C below the 1991–2020 August 28 average of 24.2 °C. Market-implied probabilities align closely with this consensus, with 23 °C leading at 39 % followed by 24 °C and 22 °C. Final official readings from Paris-Montsouris or equivalent stations will resolve the market, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud allow brief additional warming.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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