**Current forecasts from multiple models and meteorological services point to an overnight low of 16–17°C in Paris on August 29, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light showers or drizzle.** This setup limits radiational cooling compared to clear conditions, keeping minimum temperatures above the long-term average low of ~13.5°C for the date. Southwesterly flow advects milder maritime air, while high pressure and persistent cloud cover suppress nocturnal temperature drops. Recent model consensus (including GFS and ECMWF guidance referenced in local forecasts) shows overnight readings stabilizing near 16°C, with some runs slightly higher or lower depending on exact timing of any showers. The market’s heavy weighting on 16°C (48%) reflects this tight clustering around the expected minimum, while the spread to 15°C and 17°C captures residual uncertainty in final model runs and local microclimate effects before the overnight period concludes. No significant cold advection or clearing is indicated that would shift probabilities markedly lower in the final hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 29?
16°C 48%
17°C 19%
18°C 16%
15°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
5%
14°C
5%
15°C
16%
16°C
48%
17°C
19%
18°C
16%
19°C
5%
20°C
3%
21°C or higher
1%
16°C 48%
17°C 19%
18°C 16%
15°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
11°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$5 Vol.
3%
13°C
$54 Vol.
5%
14°C
$46 Vol.
5%
15°C
$0 Vol.
16%
16°C
$87 Vol.
48%
17°C
$0 Vol.
19%
18°C
$57 Vol.
16%
19°C
$80 Vol.
5%
20°C
$5 Vol.
3%
21°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models and meteorological services point to an overnight low of 16–17°C in Paris on August 29, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light showers or drizzle.** This setup limits radiational cooling compared to clear conditions, keeping minimum temperatures above the long-term average low of ~13.5°C for the date. Southwesterly flow advects milder maritime air, while high pressure and persistent cloud cover suppress nocturnal temperature drops.
Recent model consensus (including GFS and ECMWF guidance referenced in local forecasts) shows overnight readings stabilizing near 16°C, with some runs slightly higher or lower depending on exact timing of any showers. The market’s heavy weighting on 16°C (48%) reflects this tight clustering around the expected minimum, while the spread to 15°C and 17°C captures residual uncertainty in final model runs and local microclimate effects before the overnight period concludes. No significant cold advection or clearing is indicated that would shift probabilities markedly lower in the final hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$344End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models and meteorological services point to an overnight low of 16–17°C in Paris on August 29, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light showers or drizzle.** This setup limits radiational cooling compared to clear conditions, keeping minimum temperatures above the long-term average low of ~13.5°C for the date. Southwesterly flow advects milder maritime air, while high pressure and persistent cloud cover suppress nocturnal temperature drops.
Recent model consensus (including GFS and ECMWF guidance referenced in local forecasts) shows overnight readings stabilizing near 16°C, with some runs slightly higher or lower depending on exact timing of any showers. The market’s heavy weighting on 16°C (48%) reflects this tight clustering around the expected minimum, while the spread to 15°C and 17°C captures residual uncertainty in final model runs and local microclimate effects before the overnight period concludes. No significant cold advection or clearing is indicated that would shift probabilities markedly lower in the final hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$344End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple models and meteorological services point to an overnight low of 16–17°C in Paris on August 29, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light showers or drizzle.** This setup limits radiational cooling compared to clear conditions, keeping minimum temperatures above the long-term average low of ~13.5°C for the date. Southwesterly flow advects milder maritime air, while high pressure and persistent cloud cover suppress nocturnal temperature drops. Recent model consensus (including GFS and ECMWF guidance referenced in local forecasts) shows overnight readings stabilizing near 16°C, with some runs slightly higher or lower depending on exact timing of any showers. The market’s heavy weighting on 16°C (48%) reflects this tight clustering around the expected minimum, while the spread to 15°C and 17°C captures residual uncertainty in final model runs and local microclimate effects before the overnight period concludes. No significant cold advection or clearing is indicated that would shift probabilities markedly lower in the final hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions