Recent official forecasts from agencies including the South African Weather Service and international models converge on a maximum temperature of 16–17°C for Cape Town on August 30, driven by stable high pressure, southeasterly winds, and partly cloudy conditions that limit daytime heating during Southern Hemisphere winter. This consensus underpins the market’s leading implied probabilities of 39% for 17°C and 27.5% for 18°C, while the 21.5% for 16°C reflects residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and local microclimate effects. Historical August averages near 18°C provide context, yet recent cold-front influences have kept readings slightly suppressed. Traders will monitor updated model runs and SAWS briefings through the weekend for any last adjustments ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 30?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 30?
17°C 42%
18°C 30%
16°C 22%
19°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
7%
15°C
10%
16°C
22%
17°C
42%
18°C
28%
19°C
20%
20°C
20%
21°C
8%
22°C or higher
1%
17°C 42%
18°C 30%
16°C 22%
19°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$0 Vol.
1%
14°C
$26 Vol.
7%
15°C
$5 Vol.
10%
16°C
$36 Vol.
22%
17°C
$548 Vol.
42%
18°C
$34 Vol.
28%
19°C
$0 Vol.
20%
20°C
$0 Vol.
20%
21°C
$10 Vol.
8%
22°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies including the South African Weather Service and international models converge on a maximum temperature of 16–17°C for Cape Town on August 30, driven by stable high pressure, southeasterly winds, and partly cloudy conditions that limit daytime heating during Southern Hemisphere winter. This consensus underpins the market’s leading implied probabilities of 39% for 17°C and 27.5% for 18°C, while the 21.5% for 16°C reflects residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and local microclimate effects. Historical August averages near 18°C provide context, yet recent cold-front influences have kept readings slightly suppressed. Traders will monitor updated model runs and SAWS briefings through the weekend for any last adjustments ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$658End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies including the South African Weather Service and international models converge on a maximum temperature of 16–17°C for Cape Town on August 30, driven by stable high pressure, southeasterly winds, and partly cloudy conditions that limit daytime heating during Southern Hemisphere winter. This consensus underpins the market’s leading implied probabilities of 39% for 17°C and 27.5% for 18°C, while the 21.5% for 16°C reflects residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and local microclimate effects. Historical August averages near 18°C provide context, yet recent cold-front influences have kept readings slightly suppressed. Traders will monitor updated model runs and SAWS briefings through the weekend for any last adjustments ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$658End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies including the South African Weather Service and international models converge on a maximum temperature of 16–17°C for Cape Town on August 30, driven by stable high pressure, southeasterly winds, and partly cloudy conditions that limit daytime heating during Southern Hemisphere winter. This consensus underpins the market’s leading implied probabilities of 39% for 17°C and 27.5% for 18°C, while the 21.5% for 16°C reflects residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and local microclimate effects. Historical August averages near 18°C provide context, yet recent cold-front influences have kept readings slightly suppressed. Traders will monitor updated model runs and SAWS briefings through the weekend for any last adjustments ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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