Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional Chinese meteorological services indicate a minimum temperature in Qingdao on August 28 near 24–26°C, driven by persistent marine influence from the Yellow Sea, light southerly to easterly winds, and overnight cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. Current conditions feature highs around 29–30°C with high humidity and dew points near 24°C, setting up mild overnight lows as a weak frontal boundary approaches. Trader sentiment clusters around 24°C and 25°C because ensemble guidance shows minimal spread in boundary-layer temperatures, with any deviation hinging on exact cloud timing or wind shifts that could alter the diurnal range by 1–2°C. Updated model runs ahead of the 48-hour window remain the key catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 28?
28°C 98%
24°C 51%
25°C 50%
27°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
20°C or below
9%
21°C
44%
22°C
47%
23°C
25%
24°C
51%
25°C
50%
26°C
37%
27°C
49%
28°C
98%
29°C
47%
30°C or higher
48%
28°C 98%
24°C 51%
25°C 50%
27°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
20°C or below
$27 Vol.
9%
21°C
$0 Vol.
44%
22°C
$0 Vol.
47%
23°C
$0 Vol.
25%
24°C
$0 Vol.
51%
25°C
$0 Vol.
50%
26°C
$0 Vol.
37%
27°C
$0 Vol.
49%
28°C
$27 Vol.
98%
29°C
$0 Vol.
47%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional Chinese meteorological services indicate a minimum temperature in Qingdao on August 28 near 24–26°C, driven by persistent marine influence from the Yellow Sea, light southerly to easterly winds, and overnight cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. Current conditions feature highs around 29–30°C with high humidity and dew points near 24°C, setting up mild overnight lows as a weak frontal boundary approaches. Trader sentiment clusters around 24°C and 25°C because ensemble guidance shows minimal spread in boundary-layer temperatures, with any deviation hinging on exact cloud timing or wind shifts that could alter the diurnal range by 1–2°C. Updated model runs ahead of the 48-hour window remain the key catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$55End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional Chinese meteorological services indicate a minimum temperature in Qingdao on August 28 near 24–26°C, driven by persistent marine influence from the Yellow Sea, light southerly to easterly winds, and overnight cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. Current conditions feature highs around 29–30°C with high humidity and dew points near 24°C, setting up mild overnight lows as a weak frontal boundary approaches. Trader sentiment clusters around 24°C and 25°C because ensemble guidance shows minimal spread in boundary-layer temperatures, with any deviation hinging on exact cloud timing or wind shifts that could alter the diurnal range by 1–2°C. Updated model runs ahead of the 48-hour window remain the key catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$55End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional Chinese meteorological services indicate a minimum temperature in Qingdao on August 28 near 24–26°C, driven by persistent marine influence from the Yellow Sea, light southerly to easterly winds, and overnight cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. Current conditions feature highs around 29–30°C with high humidity and dew points near 24°C, setting up mild overnight lows as a weak frontal boundary approaches. Trader sentiment clusters around 24°C and 25°C because ensemble guidance shows minimal spread in boundary-layer temperatures, with any deviation hinging on exact cloud timing or wind shifts that could alter the diurnal range by 1–2°C. Updated model runs ahead of the 48-hour window remain the key catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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