Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and local models indicate a high around 29–31°C for Busan on August 30, with partly cloudy skies, southwest winds near 8 mph, and 40–60% chance of thunderstorms that could cap daytime peaks through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 31–32°C because ensemble spreads remain modest this close to the event, while historical late-August averages near 27–29°C provide a lower baseline that recent warmer anomalies have shifted upward. Key variables include exact timing of convective cells and any revisions in the next 48-hour model runs that could push the maximum across resolution thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on August 30?
32°C 33%
31°C 29%
30°C 27%
29°C 19%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
16%
29°C
19%
30°C
27%
31°C
29%
32°C
33%
33°C
7%
34°C
7%
35°C
7%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 33%
31°C 29%
30°C 27%
29°C 19%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
16%
29°C
19%
30°C
27%
31°C
29%
32°C
33%
33°C
7%
34°C
7%
35°C
7%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and local models indicate a high around 29–31°C for Busan on August 30, with partly cloudy skies, southwest winds near 8 mph, and 40–60% chance of thunderstorms that could cap daytime peaks through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 31–32°C because ensemble spreads remain modest this close to the event, while historical late-August averages near 27–29°C provide a lower baseline that recent warmer anomalies have shifted upward. Key variables include exact timing of convective cells and any revisions in the next 48-hour model runs that could push the maximum across resolution thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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