Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international models indicate a high-pressure system steering southerly to southeasterly winds over Moscow, supporting daytime maxima of 20–22°C on August 30 amid variable cloudiness and isolated light showers. Nighttime minima near 9–14°C limit overnight recovery, while moderate humidity and wind speeds of 6–11 m/s moderate peak heating. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in modeled cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress temperatures by 1–2°C. These conditions align with late-August climatology near 18–22°C, producing tight market clustering around the most probable outcomes as new model runs refine the exact peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 30?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 30?
20°C 29%
21°C 27%
22°C 17%
19°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
16°C or below
5%
17°C
2%
18°C
10%
19°C
13%
20°C
29%
21°C
27%
22°C
17%
23°C
4%
24°C
6%
25°C
6%
26°C or higher
6%
20°C 29%
21°C 27%
22°C 17%
19°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Vol.
5%
17°C
$0 Vol.
2%
18°C
$51 Vol.
10%
19°C
$0 Vol.
13%
20°C
$0 Vol.
29%
21°C
$0 Vol.
27%
22°C
$0 Vol.
17%
23°C
$12 Vol.
4%
24°C
$0 Vol.
6%
25°C
$0 Vol.
6%
26°C or higher
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international models indicate a high-pressure system steering southerly to southeasterly winds over Moscow, supporting daytime maxima of 20–22°C on August 30 amid variable cloudiness and isolated light showers. Nighttime minima near 9–14°C limit overnight recovery, while moderate humidity and wind speeds of 6–11 m/s moderate peak heating. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in modeled cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress temperatures by 1–2°C. These conditions align with late-August climatology near 18–22°C, producing tight market clustering around the most probable outcomes as new model runs refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$63End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international models indicate a high-pressure system steering southerly to southeasterly winds over Moscow, supporting daytime maxima of 20–22°C on August 30 amid variable cloudiness and isolated light showers. Nighttime minima near 9–14°C limit overnight recovery, while moderate humidity and wind speeds of 6–11 m/s moderate peak heating. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in modeled cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress temperatures by 1–2°C. These conditions align with late-August climatology near 18–22°C, producing tight market clustering around the most probable outcomes as new model runs refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$63End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international models indicate a high-pressure system steering southerly to southeasterly winds over Moscow, supporting daytime maxima of 20–22°C on August 30 amid variable cloudiness and isolated light showers. Nighttime minima near 9–14°C limit overnight recovery, while moderate humidity and wind speeds of 6–11 m/s moderate peak heating. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in modeled cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress temperatures by 1–2°C. These conditions align with late-August climatology near 18–22°C, producing tight market clustering around the most probable outcomes as new model runs refine the exact peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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