Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and regional models indicate a daytime high near 21–22°C in Amsterdam on August 30, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 average of 21.1°C. Persistent southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers are expected to limit diurnal warming while maintaining moderate humidity and wind speeds of 15–17 mph. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread around these values, with no strong signals for either a warmer ridge or cooler northerly surge in the short term. This narrow range underpins the near-even market split between the two leading outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in the precise maximum amid typical late-summer variability. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 30?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 30?
22°C 47%
21°C 42%
20°C 10%
19°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
8%
20°C
10%
21°C
42%
22°C
47%
23°C
8%
24°C
7%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 47%
21°C 42%
20°C 10%
19°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
16°C or below
$11 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$0 Vol.
1%
19°C
$0 Vol.
8%
20°C
$0 Vol.
10%
21°C
$31 Vol.
42%
22°C
$173 Vol.
47%
23°C
$32 Vol.
8%
24°C
$15 Vol.
7%
25°C
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C or higher
$11 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and regional models indicate a daytime high near 21–22°C in Amsterdam on August 30, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 average of 21.1°C. Persistent southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers are expected to limit diurnal warming while maintaining moderate humidity and wind speeds of 15–17 mph. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread around these values, with no strong signals for either a warmer ridge or cooler northerly surge in the short term. This narrow range underpins the near-even market split between the two leading outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in the precise maximum amid typical late-summer variability. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$272End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and regional models indicate a daytime high near 21–22°C in Amsterdam on August 30, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 average of 21.1°C. Persistent southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers are expected to limit diurnal warming while maintaining moderate humidity and wind speeds of 15–17 mph. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread around these values, with no strong signals for either a warmer ridge or cooler northerly surge in the short term. This narrow range underpins the near-even market split between the two leading outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in the precise maximum amid typical late-summer variability. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$272End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and regional models indicate a daytime high near 21–22°C in Amsterdam on August 30, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 average of 21.1°C. Persistent southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers are expected to limit diurnal warming while maintaining moderate humidity and wind speeds of 15–17 mph. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread around these values, with no strong signals for either a warmer ridge or cooler northerly surge in the short term. This narrow range underpins the near-even market split between the two leading outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in the precise maximum amid typical late-summer variability. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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