Recent meteorological forecasts for Karachi indicate maximum temperatures clustering around 30–31°C on August 30, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate southwesterly winds off the Arabian Sea, and high humidity typical of the late monsoon transition. Ensemble models from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international agencies show limited diurnal heating due to these conditions, with historical August normals near 32°C offset by current above-normal but stable moisture patterns. Minor divergences in predicted wind strength and cloud timing explain the tight market spread between 30°C and 32°C outcomes, as stronger ventilation or clearer breaks could shift peaks by 1–2°C. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 30?
31°C 43%
30°C 34%
32°C 23%
29°C 18%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
18%
30°C
34%
31°C
43%
32°C
23%
33°C
7%
34°C
7%
35°C
7%
36°C or higher
1%
31°C 43%
30°C 34%
32°C 23%
29°C 18%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
18%
30°C
34%
31°C
43%
32°C
23%
33°C
7%
34°C
7%
35°C
7%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Karachi indicate maximum temperatures clustering around 30–31°C on August 30, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate southwesterly winds off the Arabian Sea, and high humidity typical of the late monsoon transition. Ensemble models from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international agencies show limited diurnal heating due to these conditions, with historical August normals near 32°C offset by current above-normal but stable moisture patterns. Minor divergences in predicted wind strength and cloud timing explain the tight market spread between 30°C and 32°C outcomes, as stronger ventilation or clearer breaks could shift peaks by 1–2°C. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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