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Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 27?

icon for Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 27?

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 27?

84-85°F 37%

86-87°F 34%

82-83°F 21%

88-89°F 6%

Polymarket
NEW

84-85°F 37%

86-87°F 34%

82-83°F 21%

88-89°F 6%

Polymarket
NEW

77°F or below

$5 Vol.

1%

78-79°F

$0 Vol.

2%

80-81°F

$20 Vol.

6%

82-83°F

$82 Vol.

21%

84-85°F

$171 Vol.

37%

86-87°F

$51 Vol.

34%

88-89°F

$20 Vol.

6%

90-91°F

$22 Vol.

5%

92-93°F

$0 Vol.

6%

94-95°F

$0 Vol.

2%

96°F or higher

$0 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Coastal marine influences and a moderating sea breeze are the dominant factors keeping trader consensus centered on 84–87°F for the official Los Angeles high on August 27.** Persistent high pressure over the Southwest has sustained a regional heat wave with inland valleys reaching 100°F+, yet the marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific are expected to cap coastal and near-coastal readings. Official guidance from NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard and model runs show LAX and downtown-adjacent stations peaking in the low-to-mid 80s, with highs forecast near 83–95°F depending on the exact site and timing of any afternoon clearing. Recent model consensus and the 24–48 hour trend have narrowed expectations around the 84–87°F bins (collectively ~70% implied probability), as stronger-than-normal southwest winds and lingering low clouds limit full daytime heating. Historical August 27 averages near 77°F provide context, but the current pattern deviates upward while remaining well below inland extremes. Key variables that could shift outcomes include any delay in marine-layer burn-off or a stronger offshore component, both of which NWS updates will clarify before resolution. Traders are weighting the skin-in-the-game balance between these coastal-moderation dynamics and residual heat-wave momentum.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax

This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.

If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$371
End Date
Aug 27, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Coastal marine influences and a moderating sea breeze are the dominant factors keeping trader consensus centered on 84–87°F for the official Los Angeles high on August 27.** Persistent high pressure over the Southwest has sustained a regional heat wave with inland valleys reaching 100°F+, yet the marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific are expected to cap coastal and near-coastal readings. Official guidance from NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard and model runs show LAX and downtown-adjacent stations peaking in the low-to-mid 80s, with highs forecast near 83–95°F depending on the exact site and timing of any afternoon clearing. Recent model consensus and the 24–48 hour trend have narrowed expectations around the 84–87°F bins (collectively ~70% implied probability), as stronger-than-normal southwest winds and lingering low clouds limit full daytime heating. Historical August 27 averages near 77°F provide context, but the current pattern deviates upward while remaining well below inland extremes. Key variables that could shift outcomes include any delay in marine-layer burn-off or a stronger offshore component, both of which NWS updates will clarify before resolution. Traders are weighting the skin-in-the-game balance between these coastal-moderation dynamics and residual heat-wave momentum.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax

This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.

If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$371
End Date
Aug 27, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 27?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "84-85°F" at 37%, followed by "86-87°F" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 27?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 27?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 27?" is "84-85°F" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "86-87°F" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 27?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.