Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and European weather services points to a daytime maximum of 21–23°C in Amsterdam on August 29 under southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers associated with an approaching Atlantic frontal system. This follows warmer conditions earlier in the week (highs near 29°C on August 27) and reflects typical late-summer moderation as cooler maritime air displaces residual continental warmth. Resolution criteria focus strictly on the official highest recorded temperature, with limited model spread supporting the market’s clustering around 22°C as the modal outcome. Updated guidance expected from national meteorological agencies in the next 24–48 hours could refine probabilities if precipitation timing or wind strength shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 29?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 29?
22°C 40%
23°C 27%
21°C 23%
19°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
11%
20°C
5%
21°C
23%
22°C
40%
23°C
27%
24°C
5%
25°C
5%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 40%
23°C 27%
21°C 23%
19°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
17°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$0 Vol.
1%
19°C
$0 Vol.
11%
20°C
$217 Vol.
5%
21°C
$0 Vol.
23%
22°C
$117 Vol.
40%
23°C
$22 Vol.
27%
24°C
$0 Vol.
5%
25°C
$0 Vol.
5%
26°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and European weather services points to a daytime maximum of 21–23°C in Amsterdam on August 29 under southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers associated with an approaching Atlantic frontal system. This follows warmer conditions earlier in the week (highs near 29°C on August 27) and reflects typical late-summer moderation as cooler maritime air displaces residual continental warmth. Resolution criteria focus strictly on the official highest recorded temperature, with limited model spread supporting the market’s clustering around 22°C as the modal outcome. Updated guidance expected from national meteorological agencies in the next 24–48 hours could refine probabilities if precipitation timing or wind strength shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$355End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and European weather services points to a daytime maximum of 21–23°C in Amsterdam on August 29 under southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers associated with an approaching Atlantic frontal system. This follows warmer conditions earlier in the week (highs near 29°C on August 27) and reflects typical late-summer moderation as cooler maritime air displaces residual continental warmth. Resolution criteria focus strictly on the official highest recorded temperature, with limited model spread supporting the market’s clustering around 22°C as the modal outcome. Updated guidance expected from national meteorological agencies in the next 24–48 hours could refine probabilities if precipitation timing or wind strength shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$355End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and European weather services points to a daytime maximum of 21–23°C in Amsterdam on August 29 under southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers associated with an approaching Atlantic frontal system. This follows warmer conditions earlier in the week (highs near 29°C on August 27) and reflects typical late-summer moderation as cooler maritime air displaces residual continental warmth. Resolution criteria focus strictly on the official highest recorded temperature, with limited model spread supporting the market’s clustering around 22°C as the modal outcome. Updated guidance expected from national meteorological agencies in the next 24–48 hours could refine probabilities if precipitation timing or wind strength shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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