**Current forecast consensus from official and model sources points to a daily high in Shenzhen on August 29 around 33–34°C, driven by typical late-summer South China monsoon conditions with high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover.** Recent heavy rainfall on August 27–28 has maintained elevated soil moisture and atmospheric moisture, limiting afternoon heating while steering patterns keep the region under moist southwesterly flow. Model runs show differences in timing of any clearing or convective activity that could allow brief periods of stronger insolation, pushing peaks toward 35°C or capping them nearer 32–33°C. Historical August climatology for the area averages near 32°C, with trader positioning reflecting uncertainty in the exact peak under these conditions and the narrow resolution thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 29?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 29?
34°C 28%
33°C 26%
32°C 20%
35°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
9%
31°C
16%
32°C
20%
33°C
26%
34°C
28%
35°C
17%
36°C
9%
37°C or higher
1%
34°C 28%
33°C 26%
32°C 20%
35°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
27°C or below
$246 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$90 Vol.
1%
29°C
$63 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$46 Vol.
9%
31°C
$19 Vol.
16%
32°C
$26 Vol.
20%
33°C
$89 Vol.
26%
34°C
$5 Vol.
28%
35°C
$36 Vol.
17%
36°C
$40 Vol.
9%
37°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from official and model sources points to a daily high in Shenzhen on August 29 around 33–34°C, driven by typical late-summer South China monsoon conditions with high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover.** Recent heavy rainfall on August 27–28 has maintained elevated soil moisture and atmospheric moisture, limiting afternoon heating while steering patterns keep the region under moist southwesterly flow. Model runs show differences in timing of any clearing or convective activity that could allow brief periods of stronger insolation, pushing peaks toward 35°C or capping them nearer 32–33°C. Historical August climatology for the area averages near 32°C, with trader positioning reflecting uncertainty in the exact peak under these conditions and the narrow resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$660End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from official and model sources points to a daily high in Shenzhen on August 29 around 33–34°C, driven by typical late-summer South China monsoon conditions with high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover.** Recent heavy rainfall on August 27–28 has maintained elevated soil moisture and atmospheric moisture, limiting afternoon heating while steering patterns keep the region under moist southwesterly flow. Model runs show differences in timing of any clearing or convective activity that could allow brief periods of stronger insolation, pushing peaks toward 35°C or capping them nearer 32–33°C. Historical August climatology for the area averages near 32°C, with trader positioning reflecting uncertainty in the exact peak under these conditions and the narrow resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$660End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast consensus from official and model sources points to a daily high in Shenzhen on August 29 around 33–34°C, driven by typical late-summer South China monsoon conditions with high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover.** Recent heavy rainfall on August 27–28 has maintained elevated soil moisture and atmospheric moisture, limiting afternoon heating while steering patterns keep the region under moist southwesterly flow. Model runs show differences in timing of any clearing or convective activity that could allow brief periods of stronger insolation, pushing peaks toward 35°C or capping them nearer 32–33°C. Historical August climatology for the area averages near 32°C, with trader positioning reflecting uncertainty in the exact peak under these conditions and the narrow resolution thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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