Incoming atmospheric fronts are moderating temperatures across central Poland ahead of August 29, replacing recent high-pressure warmth with cooler maritime air, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. Ensemble model runs from sources such as IMGW and international guidance converge on daily maxima near 19–23 °C, with subtle differences arising from the precise timing of frontal passage, precipitation onset, and boundary-layer moisture. These variables create genuine uncertainty among closely matched outcomes around 20–22 °C, as earlier rain or thicker cloud decks would suppress the peak while delayed precipitation could allow brief additional warming. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and historical late-August analogs for Warsaw when assessing resolution risk.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 29?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 29?
20°C 35%
21°C 29%
19°C 17%
22°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
17%
20°C
20%
21°C
29%
22°C
12%
23°C
6%
24°C
6%
25°C or higher
1%
20°C 35%
21°C 29%
19°C 17%
22°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
15°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$31 Vol.
17%
20°C
$0 Vol.
20%
21°C
$0 Vol.
29%
22°C
$5 Vol.
12%
23°C
$11 Vol.
6%
24°C
$0 Vol.
6%
25°C or higher
$11 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Incoming atmospheric fronts are moderating temperatures across central Poland ahead of August 29, replacing recent high-pressure warmth with cooler maritime air, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. Ensemble model runs from sources such as IMGW and international guidance converge on daily maxima near 19–23 °C, with subtle differences arising from the precise timing of frontal passage, precipitation onset, and boundary-layer moisture. These variables create genuine uncertainty among closely matched outcomes around 20–22 °C, as earlier rain or thicker cloud decks would suppress the peak while delayed precipitation could allow brief additional warming. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and historical late-August analogs for Warsaw when assessing resolution risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$59End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Incoming atmospheric fronts are moderating temperatures across central Poland ahead of August 29, replacing recent high-pressure warmth with cooler maritime air, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. Ensemble model runs from sources such as IMGW and international guidance converge on daily maxima near 19–23 °C, with subtle differences arising from the precise timing of frontal passage, precipitation onset, and boundary-layer moisture. These variables create genuine uncertainty among closely matched outcomes around 20–22 °C, as earlier rain or thicker cloud decks would suppress the peak while delayed precipitation could allow brief additional warming. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and historical late-August analogs for Warsaw when assessing resolution risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$59End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incoming atmospheric fronts are moderating temperatures across central Poland ahead of August 29, replacing recent high-pressure warmth with cooler maritime air, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. Ensemble model runs from sources such as IMGW and international guidance converge on daily maxima near 19–23 °C, with subtle differences arising from the precise timing of frontal passage, precipitation onset, and boundary-layer moisture. These variables create genuine uncertainty among closely matched outcomes around 20–22 °C, as earlier rain or thicker cloud decks would suppress the peak while delayed precipitation could allow brief additional warming. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and historical late-August analogs for Warsaw when assessing resolution risk.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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