**Trader consensus strongly favors a 30°C high for Seoul/Incheon on August 27, 2026, at 97.5% implied probability.** Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and model consensus indicate a typical late-August peak near this threshold under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and moderate humidity, consistent with climatological averages for the region. Current observations show temperatures climbing through the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius during peak heating hours, aligning with ensemble guidance projecting limited daytime warming due to cloud cover and scattered showers. While a 30°C outcome reflects aggregated trader assessment of stable synoptic patterns, scenarios such as faster clearing skies or reduced precipitation could allow readings to reach 31°C or higher, though such shifts remain low-probability based on the latest model runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 27?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 27?
30°C 97%
31°C 2.8%
32°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
$39,245 Vol.
$39,245 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
97%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
30°C 97%
31°C 2.8%
32°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
$39,245 Vol.
$39,245 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
23°C or below
$361 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$361 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$361 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$497 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$3,680 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5,028 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$6,130 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$9,288 Vol.
97%
31°C
$7,552 Vol.
3%
32°C
$3,820 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$2,167 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 30°C high for Seoul/Incheon on August 27, 2026, at 97.5% implied probability.** Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and model consensus indicate a typical late-August peak near this threshold under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and moderate humidity, consistent with climatological averages for the region. Current observations show temperatures climbing through the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius during peak heating hours, aligning with ensemble guidance projecting limited daytime warming due to cloud cover and scattered showers. While a 30°C outcome reflects aggregated trader assessment of stable synoptic patterns, scenarios such as faster clearing skies or reduced precipitation could allow readings to reach 31°C or higher, though such shifts remain low-probability based on the latest model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$39,245End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 30°C high for Seoul/Incheon on August 27, 2026, at 97.5% implied probability.** Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and model consensus indicate a typical late-August peak near this threshold under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and moderate humidity, consistent with climatological averages for the region. Current observations show temperatures climbing through the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius during peak heating hours, aligning with ensemble guidance projecting limited daytime warming due to cloud cover and scattered showers. While a 30°C outcome reflects aggregated trader assessment of stable synoptic patterns, scenarios such as faster clearing skies or reduced precipitation could allow readings to reach 31°C or higher, though such shifts remain low-probability based on the latest model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$39,245End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 30°C high for Seoul/Incheon on August 27, 2026, at 97.5% implied probability.** Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and model consensus indicate a typical late-August peak near this threshold under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and moderate humidity, consistent with climatological averages for the region. Current observations show temperatures climbing through the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius during peak heating hours, aligning with ensemble guidance projecting limited daytime warming due to cloud cover and scattered showers. While a 30°C outcome reflects aggregated trader assessment of stable synoptic patterns, scenarios such as faster clearing skies or reduced precipitation could allow readings to reach 31°C or higher, though such shifts remain low-probability based on the latest model runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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