Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a high around 28–30°C for Incheon on August 29, with widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms expected from early morning onward. Persistent late-summer humidity and a developing rain system are limiting daytime heating compared to recent days near 32–34°C. Model consensus shows modest cooling from increased precipitation probability (60–85% in many runs), though exact timing of heaviest rain and any breaks in cloud cover introduce uncertainty in the peak value. Historical August averages near 29°C provide context, but current steering patterns and moisture influx favor outcomes clustered around 28–29°C in trader assessments. Updated model guidance and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 29?
29°C 33%
28°C 27%
30°C 21%
27°C 12%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
12%
28°C
27%
29°C
33%
30°C
21%
31°C
5%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 33%
28°C 27%
30°C 21%
27°C 12%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
12%
28°C
27%
29°C
33%
30°C
21%
31°C
5%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a high around 28–30°C for Incheon on August 29, with widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms expected from early morning onward. Persistent late-summer humidity and a developing rain system are limiting daytime heating compared to recent days near 32–34°C. Model consensus shows modest cooling from increased precipitation probability (60–85% in many runs), though exact timing of heaviest rain and any breaks in cloud cover introduce uncertainty in the peak value. Historical August averages near 29°C provide context, but current steering patterns and moisture influx favor outcomes clustered around 28–29°C in trader assessments. Updated model guidance and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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