Recent official forecasts from Russian meteorological sources and global models indicate a high-pressure system over Moscow through the weekend, supporting mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light variable winds and no precipitation, keeping daytime maxima in the 18–22°C range. Trader consensus clusters around 19–21°C as the most probable outcomes, reflecting tight model agreement on moderate late-August conditions slightly below seasonal norms amid northerly flow. Small uncertainties in cloud cover timing or wind shifts could adjust the peak by 1–2°C, with final updates from agencies like the Hydrometeorological Center expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 29?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 29?
20°C 45%
19°C 23%
21°C 19%
17°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
13%
18°C
12%
19°C
23%
20°C
30%
21°C
19%
22°C
6%
23°C
4%
24°C or higher
4%
20°C 45%
19°C 23%
21°C 19%
17°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$0 Vol.
2%
17°C
$51 Vol.
13%
18°C
$0 Vol.
12%
19°C
$0 Vol.
23%
20°C
$34 Vol.
30%
21°C
$5 Vol.
19%
22°C
$0 Vol.
6%
23°C
$0 Vol.
4%
24°C or higher
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Russian meteorological sources and global models indicate a high-pressure system over Moscow through the weekend, supporting mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light variable winds and no precipitation, keeping daytime maxima in the 18–22°C range. Trader consensus clusters around 19–21°C as the most probable outcomes, reflecting tight model agreement on moderate late-August conditions slightly below seasonal norms amid northerly flow. Small uncertainties in cloud cover timing or wind shifts could adjust the peak by 1–2°C, with final updates from agencies like the Hydrometeorological Center expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$90End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Russian meteorological sources and global models indicate a high-pressure system over Moscow through the weekend, supporting mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light variable winds and no precipitation, keeping daytime maxima in the 18–22°C range. Trader consensus clusters around 19–21°C as the most probable outcomes, reflecting tight model agreement on moderate late-August conditions slightly below seasonal norms amid northerly flow. Small uncertainties in cloud cover timing or wind shifts could adjust the peak by 1–2°C, with final updates from agencies like the Hydrometeorological Center expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$90End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Russian meteorological sources and global models indicate a high-pressure system over Moscow through the weekend, supporting mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light variable winds and no precipitation, keeping daytime maxima in the 18–22°C range. Trader consensus clusters around 19–21°C as the most probable outcomes, reflecting tight model agreement on moderate late-August conditions slightly below seasonal norms amid northerly flow. Small uncertainties in cloud cover timing or wind shifts could adjust the peak by 1–2°C, with final updates from agencies like the Hydrometeorological Center expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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