Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow overnight lows on August 29 will likely fall between 9–14 °C under clearing skies, light variable winds, and moderate humidity, consistent with climatological norms near 11 °C. Clear conditions favor stronger radiational cooling after sunset, while any residual cloud cover or slightly stronger northerly flow could limit the drop and keep minima closer to 12–13 °C. Ensemble spreads and recent model runs show limited divergence at this lead time, supporting the near-even market split between the 13 °C+ and sub-4 °C outcomes while concentrating probability on the 6–12 °C range. Updated high-resolution guidance expected within 24 hours will refine the exact minimum ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Moscow on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on August 29?
3°C or below 96%
13°C or higher 96%
6°C 50%
7°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
3°C or below
96%
4°C
49%
5°C
49%
6°C
50%
7°C
50%
8°C
26%
9°C
26%
10°C
50%
11°C
50%
12°C
50%
13°C or higher
96%
3°C or below 96%
13°C or higher 96%
6°C 50%
7°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
3°C or below
$0 Vol.
96%
4°C
$0 Vol.
49%
5°C
$0 Vol.
49%
6°C
$0 Vol.
50%
7°C
$0 Vol.
50%
8°C
$0 Vol.
26%
9°C
$0 Vol.
26%
10°C
$0 Vol.
50%
11°C
$0 Vol.
50%
12°C
$0 Vol.
50%
13°C or higher
$0 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow overnight lows on August 29 will likely fall between 9–14 °C under clearing skies, light variable winds, and moderate humidity, consistent with climatological norms near 11 °C. Clear conditions favor stronger radiational cooling after sunset, while any residual cloud cover or slightly stronger northerly flow could limit the drop and keep minima closer to 12–13 °C. Ensemble spreads and recent model runs show limited divergence at this lead time, supporting the near-even market split between the 13 °C+ and sub-4 °C outcomes while concentrating probability on the 6–12 °C range. Updated high-resolution guidance expected within 24 hours will refine the exact minimum ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow overnight lows on August 29 will likely fall between 9–14 °C under clearing skies, light variable winds, and moderate humidity, consistent with climatological norms near 11 °C. Clear conditions favor stronger radiational cooling after sunset, while any residual cloud cover or slightly stronger northerly flow could limit the drop and keep minima closer to 12–13 °C. Ensemble spreads and recent model runs show limited divergence at this lead time, supporting the near-even market split between the 13 °C+ and sub-4 °C outcomes while concentrating probability on the 6–12 °C range. Updated high-resolution guidance expected within 24 hours will refine the exact minimum ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow overnight lows on August 29 will likely fall between 9–14 °C under clearing skies, light variable winds, and moderate humidity, consistent with climatological norms near 11 °C. Clear conditions favor stronger radiational cooling after sunset, while any residual cloud cover or slightly stronger northerly flow could limit the drop and keep minima closer to 12–13 °C. Ensemble spreads and recent model runs show limited divergence at this lead time, supporting the near-even market split between the 13 °C+ and sub-4 °C outcomes while concentrating probability on the 6–12 °C range. Updated high-resolution guidance expected within 24 hours will refine the exact minimum ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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