Recent forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and ensemble models indicate Moscow nighttime lows near 11–12°C for August 28, close to the late-August climatological average of roughly 11°C. Trader sentiment clusters around 9–12°C outcomes because modest differences in cloud cover, wind speed, and radiative cooling overnight can shift the minimum by 1–3°C. Clearer skies under high pressure would enhance surface heat loss, while increased northwest flow or lingering moisture would limit cooling. With resolution just 48 hours away, the next GFS and ECMWF runs will tighten the range and likely move implied probabilities as new observational data arrives.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Moscow on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on August 28?
6°C or below 95%
7°C 90%
8°C 90%
11°C 90%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
6°C or below
95%
7°C
90%
8°C
90%
9°C
46%
10°C
46%
11°C
90%
12°C
90%
13°C
2%
14°C
89%
15°C
48%
16°C or higher
15%
6°C or below 95%
7°C 90%
8°C 90%
11°C 90%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
6°C or below
$0 Vol.
95%
7°C
$0 Vol.
90%
8°C
$0 Vol.
90%
9°C
$0 Vol.
46%
10°C
$0 Vol.
46%
11°C
$0 Vol.
90%
12°C
$0 Vol.
90%
13°C
$0 Vol.
2%
14°C
$27 Vol.
89%
15°C
$27 Vol.
48%
16°C or higher
$27 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and ensemble models indicate Moscow nighttime lows near 11–12°C for August 28, close to the late-August climatological average of roughly 11°C. Trader sentiment clusters around 9–12°C outcomes because modest differences in cloud cover, wind speed, and radiative cooling overnight can shift the minimum by 1–3°C. Clearer skies under high pressure would enhance surface heat loss, while increased northwest flow or lingering moisture would limit cooling. With resolution just 48 hours away, the next GFS and ECMWF runs will tighten the range and likely move implied probabilities as new observational data arrives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$82End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and ensemble models indicate Moscow nighttime lows near 11–12°C for August 28, close to the late-August climatological average of roughly 11°C. Trader sentiment clusters around 9–12°C outcomes because modest differences in cloud cover, wind speed, and radiative cooling overnight can shift the minimum by 1–3°C. Clearer skies under high pressure would enhance surface heat loss, while increased northwest flow or lingering moisture would limit cooling. With resolution just 48 hours away, the next GFS and ECMWF runs will tighten the range and likely move implied probabilities as new observational data arrives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$82End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and ensemble models indicate Moscow nighttime lows near 11–12°C for August 28, close to the late-August climatological average of roughly 11°C. Trader sentiment clusters around 9–12°C outcomes because modest differences in cloud cover, wind speed, and radiative cooling overnight can shift the minimum by 1–3°C. Clearer skies under high pressure would enhance surface heat loss, while increased northwest flow or lingering moisture would limit cooling. With resolution just 48 hours away, the next GFS and ECMWF runs will tighten the range and likely move implied probabilities as new observational data arrives.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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