Forecast models for Madrid on August 29 project afternoon highs of 29–31 °C under clear skies and light variable winds following several cooler days in late August. Persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover will allow strong daytime solar heating, yet the seasonal reduction in solar angle and recent northerly flow have kept surface temperatures below mid-summer peaks. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread around the 30 °C threshold, with small differences in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point values determining whether the daily maximum reaches 30 °C or edges to 31 °C. Historical climatology for the date centers near 30.5 °C, reinforcing the tight market clustering at these two outcomes. Updated model runs and official AEMET guidance through the weekend remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Madrid on August 29?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 29?
30°C 44%
31°C 41%
33°C 12%
28°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
25°C or below
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
11%
29°C
13%
30°C
44%
31°C
41%
32°C
11%
33°C
12%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 44%
31°C 41%
33°C 12%
28°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
26°C
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C
$0 Vol.
11%
29°C
$49 Vol.
13%
30°C
$7 Vol.
44%
31°C
$22 Vol.
41%
32°C
$67 Vol.
11%
33°C
$0 Vol.
12%
34°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Madrid on August 29 project afternoon highs of 29–31 °C under clear skies and light variable winds following several cooler days in late August. Persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover will allow strong daytime solar heating, yet the seasonal reduction in solar angle and recent northerly flow have kept surface temperatures below mid-summer peaks. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread around the 30 °C threshold, with small differences in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point values determining whether the daily maximum reaches 30 °C or edges to 31 °C. Historical climatology for the date centers near 30.5 °C, reinforcing the tight market clustering at these two outcomes. Updated model runs and official AEMET guidance through the weekend remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$145End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Madrid on August 29 project afternoon highs of 29–31 °C under clear skies and light variable winds following several cooler days in late August. Persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover will allow strong daytime solar heating, yet the seasonal reduction in solar angle and recent northerly flow have kept surface temperatures below mid-summer peaks. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread around the 30 °C threshold, with small differences in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point values determining whether the daily maximum reaches 30 °C or edges to 31 °C. Historical climatology for the date centers near 30.5 °C, reinforcing the tight market clustering at these two outcomes. Updated model runs and official AEMET guidance through the weekend remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$145End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Madrid on August 29 project afternoon highs of 29–31 °C under clear skies and light variable winds following several cooler days in late August. Persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover will allow strong daytime solar heating, yet the seasonal reduction in solar angle and recent northerly flow have kept surface temperatures below mid-summer peaks. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread around the 30 °C threshold, with small differences in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point values determining whether the daily maximum reaches 30 °C or edges to 31 °C. Historical climatology for the date centers near 30.5 °C, reinforcing the tight market clustering at these two outcomes. Updated model runs and official AEMET guidance through the weekend remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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