Recent official forecasts from agencies and models for Incheon on August 28 indicate overnight lows centered on 24–26°C, driven by persistent high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling under late-summer conditions. Consensus across guidance supports 25°C as the modal outcome, consistent with the market’s leading 49.5% implied probability, while modest spreads reflect typical forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and precipitation timing. Historical August minima near 23°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and elevated dew points favor slightly warmer readings. Updated model runs and observational data through the overnight hours will refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 28?
25°C 49%
26°C 25%
24°C 21%
23°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
6%
24°C
21%
25°C
49%
26°C
25%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 49%
26°C 25%
24°C 21%
23°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
19°C or below
$283 Vol.
1%
20°C
$229 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$299 Vol.
1%
22°C
$400 Vol.
1%
23°C
$111 Vol.
6%
24°C
$159 Vol.
21%
25°C
$112 Vol.
49%
26°C
$456 Vol.
25%
27°C
$120 Vol.
1%
28°C
$72 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$226 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies and models for Incheon on August 28 indicate overnight lows centered on 24–26°C, driven by persistent high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling under late-summer conditions. Consensus across guidance supports 25°C as the modal outcome, consistent with the market’s leading 49.5% implied probability, while modest spreads reflect typical forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and precipitation timing. Historical August minima near 23°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and elevated dew points favor slightly warmer readings. Updated model runs and observational data through the overnight hours will refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$2,467End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies and models for Incheon on August 28 indicate overnight lows centered on 24–26°C, driven by persistent high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling under late-summer conditions. Consensus across guidance supports 25°C as the modal outcome, consistent with the market’s leading 49.5% implied probability, while modest spreads reflect typical forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and precipitation timing. Historical August minima near 23°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and elevated dew points favor slightly warmer readings. Updated model runs and observational data through the overnight hours will refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,467End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies and models for Incheon on August 28 indicate overnight lows centered on 24–26°C, driven by persistent high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiational cooling under late-summer conditions. Consensus across guidance supports 25°C as the modal outcome, consistent with the market’s leading 49.5% implied probability, while modest spreads reflect typical forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and precipitation timing. Historical August minima near 23°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and elevated dew points favor slightly warmer readings. Updated model runs and observational data through the overnight hours will refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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