Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a Saturday minimum in Amsterdam near 16–17°C, driven by southwesterly flow advecting milder Atlantic air, moderate winds of 15–23 km/h, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under increased cloud cover. This setup aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 15–17°C outcomes, as small differences in precipitation timing or boundary-layer moisture can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. August 2026 has run 1–2°C above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of ~12–13°C for late August, yet the current pattern shows cooling relative to mid-month peaks, with ensemble spreads reflecting typical two-day forecast uncertainty in marine-influenced regimes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 29?
18°C 49%
14°C 39%
19°C 39%
22°C or higher 35%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
12°C or below
12%
13°C
22%
14°C
39%
15°C
25%
16°C
29%
17°C
27%
18°C
49%
19°C
39%
20°C
8%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
35%
18°C 49%
14°C 39%
19°C 39%
22°C or higher 35%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Vol.
12%
13°C
$0 Vol.
22%
14°C
$0 Vol.
39%
15°C
$0 Vol.
25%
16°C
$0 Vol.
29%
17°C
$0 Vol.
27%
18°C
$0 Vol.
49%
19°C
$0 Vol.
39%
20°C
$0 Vol.
8%
21°C
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C or higher
$0 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a Saturday minimum in Amsterdam near 16–17°C, driven by southwesterly flow advecting milder Atlantic air, moderate winds of 15–23 km/h, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under increased cloud cover. This setup aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 15–17°C outcomes, as small differences in precipitation timing or boundary-layer moisture can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. August 2026 has run 1–2°C above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of ~12–13°C for late August, yet the current pattern shows cooling relative to mid-month peaks, with ensemble spreads reflecting typical two-day forecast uncertainty in marine-influenced regimes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a Saturday minimum in Amsterdam near 16–17°C, driven by southwesterly flow advecting milder Atlantic air, moderate winds of 15–23 km/h, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under increased cloud cover. This setup aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 15–17°C outcomes, as small differences in precipitation timing or boundary-layer moisture can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. August 2026 has run 1–2°C above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of ~12–13°C for late August, yet the current pattern shows cooling relative to mid-month peaks, with ensemble spreads reflecting typical two-day forecast uncertainty in marine-influenced regimes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a Saturday minimum in Amsterdam near 16–17°C, driven by southwesterly flow advecting milder Atlantic air, moderate winds of 15–23 km/h, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under increased cloud cover. This setup aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 15–17°C outcomes, as small differences in precipitation timing or boundary-layer moisture can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. August 2026 has run 1–2°C above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of ~12–13°C for late August, yet the current pattern shows cooling relative to mid-month peaks, with ensemble spreads reflecting typical two-day forecast uncertainty in marine-influenced regimes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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