Recent forecast guidance from the Met Office and BBC places Amsterdam’s minimum temperature on August 27 in the 16–18 °C range, reflecting a mild maritime air mass with thundery showers and light to moderate easterly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. Trader consensus, expressed through the 47 % implied probability on 16 °C, aligns with this model output while assigning lower weight to cooler 14–15 °C scenarios that would require clearer skies or a stronger northerly flow. Historical August lows average near 13–15 °C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly. Updated high-resolution runs from ECMWF and KNMI expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact minimum ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 27?
18°C 49%
16°C 49%
15°C 41%
17°C 32%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
13°C or below
12%
14°C
16%
15°C
41%
16°C
49%
17°C
32%
18°C
49%
19°C
28%
20°C
8%
21°C
8%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
11%
18°C 49%
16°C 49%
15°C 41%
17°C 32%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
13°C or below
$0 Vol.
12%
14°C
$0 Vol.
16%
15°C
$0 Vol.
41%
16°C
$0 Vol.
49%
17°C
$0 Vol.
32%
18°C
$0 Vol.
49%
19°C
$0 Vol.
28%
20°C
$0 Vol.
8%
21°C
$0 Vol.
8%
22°C
$0 Vol.
2%
23°C or higher
$0 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the Met Office and BBC places Amsterdam’s minimum temperature on August 27 in the 16–18 °C range, reflecting a mild maritime air mass with thundery showers and light to moderate easterly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. Trader consensus, expressed through the 47 % implied probability on 16 °C, aligns with this model output while assigning lower weight to cooler 14–15 °C scenarios that would require clearer skies or a stronger northerly flow. Historical August lows average near 13–15 °C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly. Updated high-resolution runs from ECMWF and KNMI expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact minimum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the Met Office and BBC places Amsterdam’s minimum temperature on August 27 in the 16–18 °C range, reflecting a mild maritime air mass with thundery showers and light to moderate easterly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. Trader consensus, expressed through the 47 % implied probability on 16 °C, aligns with this model output while assigning lower weight to cooler 14–15 °C scenarios that would require clearer skies or a stronger northerly flow. Historical August lows average near 13–15 °C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly. Updated high-resolution runs from ECMWF and KNMI expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact minimum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from the Met Office and BBC places Amsterdam’s minimum temperature on August 27 in the 16–18 °C range, reflecting a mild maritime air mass with thundery showers and light to moderate easterly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. Trader consensus, expressed through the 47 % implied probability on 16 °C, aligns with this model output while assigning lower weight to cooler 14–15 °C scenarios that would require clearer skies or a stronger northerly flow. Historical August lows average near 13–15 °C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly. Updated high-resolution runs from ECMWF and KNMI expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact minimum ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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