Mahmoud Abbas has led the Palestinian Authority since 2005 without facing voters in a presidential election since taking office, fueling persistent questions about succession and institutional reform. In July 2026 he decreed the first legislative elections in over two decades for November 28, while earlier appointing Hussein al-Sheikh as vice president and interim successor in the event of a vacancy. Fatah re-elected Abbas unanimously as its leader in May 2026 and he pledged broader reforms and eventual polls, yet analysts note repeated past cancellations when his position appeared threatened. These steps, alongside announcements pointing toward possible presidential voting in early 2027, shape trader assessments of the timing and likelihood of any leadership change amid ongoing institutional and external constraints.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?
$142,154 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
14%
$142,154 Vol.
December 31
$53,554 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mahmoud Abbas has led the Palestinian Authority since 2005 without facing voters in a presidential election since taking office, fueling persistent questions about succession and institutional reform. In July 2026 he decreed the first legislative elections in over two decades for November 28, while earlier appointing Hussein al-Sheikh as vice president and interim successor in the event of a vacancy. Fatah re-elected Abbas unanimously as its leader in May 2026 and he pledged broader reforms and eventual polls, yet analysts note repeated past cancellations when his position appeared threatened. These steps, alongside announcements pointing toward possible presidential voting in early 2027, shape trader assessments of the timing and likelihood of any leadership change amid ongoing institutional and external constraints.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 5, 2026, 5:58 PM ET
Volume
$142,154End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jan 5, 2026, 5:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mahmoud Abbas has led the Palestinian Authority since 2005 without facing voters in a presidential election since taking office, fueling persistent questions about succession and institutional reform. In July 2026 he decreed the first legislative elections in over two decades for November 28, while earlier appointing Hussein al-Sheikh as vice president and interim successor in the event of a vacancy. Fatah re-elected Abbas unanimously as its leader in May 2026 and he pledged broader reforms and eventual polls, yet analysts note repeated past cancellations when his position appeared threatened. These steps, alongside announcements pointing toward possible presidential voting in early 2027, shape trader assessments of the timing and likelihood of any leadership change amid ongoing institutional and external constraints.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$142,154End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jan 5, 2026, 5:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mahmoud Abbas has led the Palestinian Authority since 2005 without facing voters in a presidential election since taking office, fueling persistent questions about succession and institutional reform. In July 2026 he decreed the first legislative elections in over two decades for November 28, while earlier appointing Hussein al-Sheikh as vice president and interim successor in the event of a vacancy. Fatah re-elected Abbas unanimously as its leader in May 2026 and he pledged broader reforms and eventual polls, yet analysts note repeated past cancellations when his position appeared threatened. These steps, alongside announcements pointing toward possible presidential voting in early 2027, shape trader assessments of the timing and likelihood of any leadership change amid ongoing institutional and external constraints.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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