**Ongoing Ukrainian drone strikes on the Moscow region have repeatedly prompted Russian aviation authorities to impose temporary flight restrictions at Sheremetyevo (SVO), Domodedovo (DME), and Vnukovo (VKO) for safety.** Multiple incidents in June, July, and August 2026 involved dozens to hundreds of drones, leading to simultaneous or near-simultaneous suspensions at the three main airports, often alongside Zhukovsky. Recent examples include restrictions on August 16, 20, and 21, when Rosaviatsiya cited airspace threats and air defenses intercepted UAVs. These patterns, tied to the Russia-Ukraine conflict's deep-strike dynamics, underpin trader assessments of the likelihood of a qualifying full suspension before the August 31 resolution date. No other scheduled events or policy changes appear poised to alter the near-term risk profile.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMoscow air traffic suspended by...?
Moscow air traffic suspended by...?
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Aug 31, 2026
August 31
44%
September 15
74%
$631 Vol.
August 31
$268 Vol.
44%
September 15
$363 Vol.
74%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Ongoing Ukrainian drone strikes on the Moscow region have repeatedly prompted Russian aviation authorities to impose temporary flight restrictions at Sheremetyevo (SVO), Domodedovo (DME), and Vnukovo (VKO) for safety.**
Multiple incidents in June, July, and August 2026 involved dozens to hundreds of drones, leading to simultaneous or near-simultaneous suspensions at the three main airports, often alongside Zhukovsky. Recent examples include restrictions on August 16, 20, and 21, when Rosaviatsiya cited airspace threats and air defenses intercepted UAVs. These patterns, tied to the Russia-Ukraine conflict's deep-strike dynamics, underpin trader assessments of the likelihood of a qualifying full suspension before the August 31 resolution date. No other scheduled events or policy changes appear poised to alter the near-term risk profile.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 7:11 PM ET
Volume
$631End Date
Sep 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 7:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Ongoing Ukrainian drone strikes on the Moscow region have repeatedly prompted Russian aviation authorities to impose temporary flight restrictions at Sheremetyevo (SVO), Domodedovo (DME), and Vnukovo (VKO) for safety.**
Multiple incidents in June, July, and August 2026 involved dozens to hundreds of drones, leading to simultaneous or near-simultaneous suspensions at the three main airports, often alongside Zhukovsky. Recent examples include restrictions on August 16, 20, and 21, when Rosaviatsiya cited airspace threats and air defenses intercepted UAVs. These patterns, tied to the Russia-Ukraine conflict's deep-strike dynamics, underpin trader assessments of the likelihood of a qualifying full suspension before the August 31 resolution date. No other scheduled events or policy changes appear poised to alter the near-term risk profile.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$631End Date
Sep 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 7:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Ongoing Ukrainian drone strikes on the Moscow region have repeatedly prompted Russian aviation authorities to impose temporary flight restrictions at Sheremetyevo (SVO), Domodedovo (DME), and Vnukovo (VKO) for safety.** Multiple incidents in June, July, and August 2026 involved dozens to hundreds of drones, leading to simultaneous or near-simultaneous suspensions at the three main airports, often alongside Zhukovsky. Recent examples include restrictions on August 16, 20, and 21, when Rosaviatsiya cited airspace threats and air defenses intercepted UAVs. These patterns, tied to the Russia-Ukraine conflict's deep-strike dynamics, underpin trader assessments of the likelihood of a qualifying full suspension before the August 31 resolution date. No other scheduled events or policy changes appear poised to alter the near-term risk profile.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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