Incumbent Democratic Senator Cory Booker seeks a third term against Republican nominee Justin Murphy, who secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with a plurality of roughly 33%. New Jersey's consistent Democratic tilt—evident in Kamala Harris's 2024 margin and the absence of a Republican Senate victory since 1972—combined with Booker's long tenure, name recognition, and unopposed Democratic primary, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democrat. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and the challenger's low profile. A late national Republican surge, significant Democratic scandal, or unexpected turnout shift could narrow the gap, though structural and historical patterns constrain those scenarios ahead of the November general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$20,329 Vol.
$20,329 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
97%
Republican
3%
$20,329 Vol.
$20,329 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
$10,722 Vol.
97%
Republican
$9,607 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Cory Booker seeks a third term against Republican nominee Justin Murphy, who secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with a plurality of roughly 33%. New Jersey's consistent Democratic tilt—evident in Kamala Harris's 2024 margin and the absence of a Republican Senate victory since 1972—combined with Booker's long tenure, name recognition, and unopposed Democratic primary, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democrat. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and the challenger's low profile. A late national Republican surge, significant Democratic scandal, or unexpected turnout shift could narrow the gap, though structural and historical patterns constrain those scenarios ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$20,329End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Cory Booker seeks a third term against Republican nominee Justin Murphy, who secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with a plurality of roughly 33%. New Jersey's consistent Democratic tilt—evident in Kamala Harris's 2024 margin and the absence of a Republican Senate victory since 1972—combined with Booker's long tenure, name recognition, and unopposed Democratic primary, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democrat. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and the challenger's low profile. A late national Republican surge, significant Democratic scandal, or unexpected turnout shift could narrow the gap, though structural and historical patterns constrain those scenarios ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$20,329End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Senator Cory Booker seeks a third term against Republican nominee Justin Murphy, who secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with a plurality of roughly 33%. New Jersey's consistent Democratic tilt—evident in Kamala Harris's 2024 margin and the absence of a Republican Senate victory since 1972—combined with Booker's long tenure, name recognition, and unopposed Democratic primary, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democrat. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and the challenger's low profile. A late national Republican surge, significant Democratic scandal, or unexpected turnout shift could narrow the gap, though structural and historical patterns constrain those scenarios ahead of the November general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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